White South Africans are mainly fucked because they aren't the type of people to take it sitting down.
In this context, white South Africans = Afrikaners; they are the majority of white farmers and the ones who are being killed on a weekly basis.
The ANC has joined the EFF with their populist approach and the general consensus (among whites here) is that they're aiming to absorb EFF votes to maintain a majority in Parliament in 2019 (elections). EFF is promoting a vote of no confidence in Nelson Mandela Bay to get the DA elected official out for an ANC one.
Ramaphosa changed up the cabinet and made some very positive changes (Public Enterprises, Gordhan & Finance, Nene to name a few) but he looked like a defeated man and it's obvious that he has to bend over for the rest of the ANC- hence Mabuza as VP & Gigaba in Home Affairs and a lot of corrupt cronies still in power.
This whole situation is fucked on so many levels.
a) ANC internal politics and owing favours -> full of power hungry inept people
b) Ramaphosa is a Venda, he's dealing with a political party mainly Zulu and Xhosa; he is there by merit and thanks to Mabuza supporting him but they both owe many favours now
c) The black populace demanding the 'land' back as this has been 'promised'. We had a similar problem 2 years ago with free tertiary education (and now the pass rate in high schools is
30%)
My observations (and some ironies) regarding land reform are:
a) Some land has already been confiscated and 97% of the people offered the land chose cash because they're either unskilled, not willing to learn or just looking for cash to spend on stupid things
b) They are encouraging 'no compensation' to the original farmers which is bound to spark a civil war of sorts and this is pushed by the EFF. The EFF want to socialize the land and the people lease it from the government. A lot of the people here think they will magically get the land and it will be the land they want. The ANC has yet to clarify this.
c) It's utterly unconstitutional so they will just change the constitution. No problem. This sets a dangerous precedent and a massive distraction from other problems (Russian Nuclear deal which Gorhan will put a stop to, hopefully & water crisis & unemployment)
d) The government itself is sitting on shitloads of land which they don't want to distribute but rather take from the skilled white farmer. Yet they will let the Ingonyama Trust (Zulu royalty) keep their land and not distribute.
e) The majority of the land (surface area) is arable farming land but nobody wants to farm because it's considered 'basic' and the new black middle class are past that
f) The whole proposal of this reform reads exactly like the Nazi Economic Transformation plan, replacing 'Jews' with 'whites' (really, take a look)
g) Enter massive brain drain and loss of expertise, not just with farmers but the pure fear spread among white people who are the majority of banking and tech.
h) Ramaphosa increased VAT by 1% and mentioned that we need the ZAR to be weak for exporting purposes and the timing of this is uncanny. The cabinet announcement (Nene) strengthened it yet the reform announcement weakened it. Obvious manipulation to keep our exports competitive so we are observing parallel threads at play.
The most annoying theme right now are the social media race wars. No one is racist in the street, only online but so many people live online now that it's slowly leaking in to the real world.
White people living in fear (because they can't speak) and black people pounding their chests (because apparently they are incapable of being racist). Everyone has now learned the term 'redress' to fit their own agenda.
@Zelcorpion, great post as usual. A lot of whites are teaming up now and planning some sort of protective agency for themselves. We are just outnumbered though. There are certain enclaves and other little 'bastions' but truly a David vs Goliath scenario. The Zulus and Xhosas have the political power. The Afrikaners & British whites here have the economic power. The difference is that all blacks here view it as a zero sum game and most whites are emotionally tied to this place that they will be stubborn and not want to leave.
The only good thing about Black Economic Empowerment (affirmative action for the majority) is that it's forced most whites to upskill and to become resourceful and competitive enough to work overseas. The only problem is that the SA government has fucked so many foreign relationships (Gigaba especially as minister of Home Affairs in the past) that work visas have become difficult and a lot of locals feel trapped; it's not only whites who want to leave for greener pastures.
It's amazing how this whole debacle can happen in Zimbabwe (after their squandering of UN loans in 1980s) and they can alienate the most productive faction of the population and literally not learn from the mistakes of their neighbours. Even more so as refugees were pouring into South Africa and the locals were arming themselves and killing them in cold blooded fashion. This approach was also enforced with Malawians, Somalians, Rwandans and Congolese who based off my personal and professional experience, are very hardworking. You have to be when you escape a war zone. The only exception being the Nigerians who are generally disliked, especially in Johannesburg.
This is the epitome of emotion dictating political actions as opposed to reason; learn from fucking mistakes. They fucked up the water situation, squandered public funds, did every 'African' political mistake possible and continue on their path of 'Escalation of Commitment', fucking shit up.
I predict the black South Africans will figure out sooner rather than later that the wool has been pulled over their eyes (there simply isn't enough land to be given without merit) and they will resort to their usual looting, rioting, burning tyres and starting shit.
The greatest irony is that the ANC severed ties with Israel last week but proceed to go ahead with the motion to change the constitution and take land away from the whites. Without deviating into Israel/Palestine (I am completely neutral), call a spade a spade.
The worst thing for the whites here is that they can't say shit. Anything they say is met with 'racist' despite black twitter here being supremely racist.
Finally, a
link showing how distorted the racism reports are here.
I definitely missed a few points here and there but to me it's not just about race.
It's about being able to converse, debate and have an educated discussion in order to come up with a rational conclusion.
Unfortunately this is not possible so people resort to the lowest denomination of engagement; name-calling, victim-seeking and finger-pointing. Any blacks who stand up against the injustice of this land reforms are alienated and unfortunately the tribalism here is severe so for them it's more hard hitting than most groups.
I know this is a bit of a ramble so please point out any discrepancies/inconsistencies and feel free to ask any questions.