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Quote: (06-04-2017 05:49 PM)Zelcorpion Wrote:
I wonder how much mental gymnastics can there be for not recognizing that there are large sources of variation in behavior unexplained by Islam?
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Quote: (06-04-2017 05:49 PM)Zelcorpion Wrote:
I wonder how much mental gymnastics can there be for not recognizing that ideologies matter tremendously?
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Give me a break here. Ideologies matter and violent religions matter too.
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Their Chinese genes made them join ISIS...
Straw-men, and some more bitchiness.
I did not evoke heritability nor genetics being the source among that residual variance; I explained that the residual variance exists. I did not say the effect (how much it "matters") of religion was zero (especially with regard to Islam); if anything I remarked it was materially non-zero.
Quote: (06-04-2017 05:49 PM)Zelcorpion Wrote:
And China experienced plenty of terror - in 2014 they had 29 of the shitheads in a massive knife attack and had dozens dead and hundreds killed.
The 2014 Kunming attack was perpetrated by 8 individuals, killed 29 to 31 Chinese. I cannot rule out straw-men being involved on both sides to bump the total up to 29 and "dozens dead and hundreds killed," though.
This was an attempted
goal-post shift: Upon 2 attacks in China since 2014 and 40+ in Europe since 2014), your transition from discussion of quantity of attacks ("plenty of attacks") to quantity of fatalities/injuries from attacks ("plenty of terror") is duly noted.
I'll play along with your attempt, because I already considered kills as the metric instead of number of attacks as the metric of interest before responding in my last post.
Let's give the Uyghurs credit for 31 and 50 kills (from the other incident in 2015) for 81 total since 2010, with a 2010 Census population of about 10 million.
Then, I linked together number of Islamic terrorism deaths in the four European countries with the largest Muslim populations (the quartet of Germany, France, UK, and Italy, via Pew), to get a sum of 286 Islamic-related terrorist deaths in those four countries since 2014 via Wikipedia (about 345 in Europe total by eye-balling Wikipedia and mental arithmetic). The 2010 population census figures for Muslim populations was about 15 million total for these countries (19 total in the EU), very generous rounding-up to a rate of 1 million from Muslim entering-migrants a year into those four countries plus
in situ population growth brings us to 19 million (and we haven't passed the mid-way point of 2017 yet...).
Using those four countries captured the bulk of the European Muslim population and European Islamic-related terrorist deaths, while avoiding accidentally comparing apples to orangish apples because different sources aggregated figures differently.
We can be generous to our European Muslim brothers and grant Chinese Muslim Uyghurs no population growth.
Thus, with very conservative assumptions to bias downward the European Quartet Muslim figure and bias upward the Uyghur figure:
286/19 million is about 15.1 terrorist kills per million (340/23 would be immaterially different at 15.0, so there would not appear to be a "Quartet" effect vis a vis rest of Europe).
81/10 is about 8.1 terrorist kills per million.
We see that even under conservative assumptions, European Quartet Muslims nearly double their Uyghur colleagues in China when it comes to terrorist killings on a per capita basis.
If we used Chinese Muslims (instead of only Uyghurs), this figure would be even more stark, since Uyghurs are on the unruly side in China.
Wikipedia lists 23 million Muslims in China as of 2010, which is on the low end of a range given (1.7%, 1.5%-4.0% range). Same no-population-growth assumption gets us a figure of 3.5 terrorist kills per million.
Thus, the same
conservative assumptions show European Quartet Muslims overachieve their Chinese Muslim counterparts in terrorist killings by about 4.3 times on a per capita basis.
If we repeated this exercise
with Chinese Muslim Hui's, the European Muslim to Chinese Hui ratio would be infinite or indeterminate due to zero Chinese Muslim Hui terrorist attacks in the same time-frame, despite a 2011 population estimate of 10.5 million.
Our evidence suggests (or rather, is yelling at us) propensity for violence/destruction (as measured by number of terrorist killings) between European Muslims, Chinese Uyghurs, and Chinese Huis is very much not invariant, i.e. there is substantial variation across these Muslim populations in propensity for violence/destruction, clocking in at about 15, 3.5, and 0.0 terrorist killings per million adherents since 2014, respectively--even with very conservative assumptions.
No need to evoke genetics or heritability at all, just that a large residual after religion exists.
Quote: (06-04-2017 05:49 PM)Zelcorpion Wrote:
60.000 Muslims in Taiwan and you are bringing that up as an example of successful integration?
Yes - and the 40.000 Muslims in Poland are integrating well - you don't even notice them, because those numbers are tiny for a country of 24 mio.!
Goal-post shifting again. I was demonstrating there is substantial variance within Muslims across different Muslim populations in penchant for violence/destructiveness, and now you just tried contorting it into an issue of "integration," and adding population size as another variable (which suggests in itself there is at least a material residual variance after religion, again). Violence/destructiveness and integration are not antonyms nor mutually exclusive.
The religion of Islam increasing the propensity for violence and destruction among its adherents on average is not mutually exclusive to there being substantial variation among Muslim populations for violent and destructive behavior, nor mutually exclusive to there being large residual variances across population behaviors unexplained by religion.
Like I said, I'm all for Islam being stamped out in the world, but the immediate priority should be on deporting Islamists--to
prioritize exorcising Islamists from Western Civilization rather than exorcising Islam from Islamists.