Quote: (07-15-2016 04:13 PM)Going strong Wrote:
The coup will succeed, I think. The Turkish army, galvanized by their (much-shared in Turkey) love for Ataturk, had years and years to prepare its action. Erdogan is over. Good fuckin riddance!!
Also, no visa-free travel next month for male Turkish citizens to Europe! Life expectancy of our women just gained 5 years...
I have observed the situation further. And guys, although I am optimistic by nature, I predict either a large scale uprising, or even civil war.
First of all, Erdogan was in power for quite a long time (10+ years), with a popular support, and support from the Army (which he purged in several waves from generals that were not loyal to him).
I expect that there will be a civil war, between
1. Erdogan's supporters (a large part of the population, sadly), reinforced by the elements of the Army still loyal to him (certainly not an insignificant number), and supported by Islamists from abroad.
..and
2. "Old Guard (Republicans)" - anti Erdogan ( mostly secular and urban population), supported by more moderate elements from the Army (which are still in majority), reinforced by the West.
Also, Kurds will certainly try to make the most out of this situation.
We will see... .