NTP, I was thinking China is forced to devalue it's currency in order to manufacture the funds necessary to prop up their crashing stock market along with providing liquidity to their banks which may be in real trouble, if not insolvent.
I'm of the thought that country is fucked, to put it mildly. I read somewhere the stock market in the US is like 30% or less owned by individuals whereas in China it's 80%. At the top of the Chinese market last year you had everyone to the last fisherman borrowing money from the banks to invest in the market. Those people got wiped out, those banks are hiding huge losses, the large institutional investors are still banned from selling, so who's buying? My guess it's the government, and where are they getting the money? Through devaluation of their currency and perhaps being added to the IMF reserve basket where they will now have mandatory buyers as well?
This is just what I'm gleaming from what I've been seeing. I could certainly be very wrong. Would be interesting if the China guys here on the forum could chime in if they are seeing any changes there on the ground.
I'm of the thought that country is fucked, to put it mildly. I read somewhere the stock market in the US is like 30% or less owned by individuals whereas in China it's 80%. At the top of the Chinese market last year you had everyone to the last fisherman borrowing money from the banks to invest in the market. Those people got wiped out, those banks are hiding huge losses, the large institutional investors are still banned from selling, so who's buying? My guess it's the government, and where are they getting the money? Through devaluation of their currency and perhaps being added to the IMF reserve basket where they will now have mandatory buyers as well?
This is just what I'm gleaming from what I've been seeing. I could certainly be very wrong. Would be interesting if the China guys here on the forum could chime in if they are seeing any changes there on the ground.