Well, the general trend in political polls in Western nations is that support for conservative parties is substantially under counted. The most recent and obvious example being the British election. Probably most (50+%) of conservatives do not trust mainstream media and institutions like polling companies since they hold conspiracy theory like views that they are part of a left wing conspiracy.
Unless pollsters (most of whom will be on the left in their own life) acknowledge that fact they will continue to get things spectacularly wrong. Like they did with the British election. They need much more creative techniques to tease out true data than simply innocently asking people what their views are. This will always result in right wing views being under counted.
Back to the Canadian election: My "hope" is still for an NDP minority government, shortly followed by "the crash", for which they will be unfairly blamed. No confidence vote and new elections all within two years of taking power. But based on current polling I'd say it looks like Harper will be getting a minority government. Not quite sure why he even wants to win. Economically he's kicked so many cans down his damn road for so long they will soon come rushing back towards him and the nation.
Unless pollsters (most of whom will be on the left in their own life) acknowledge that fact they will continue to get things spectacularly wrong. Like they did with the British election. They need much more creative techniques to tease out true data than simply innocently asking people what their views are. This will always result in right wing views being under counted.
Back to the Canadian election: My "hope" is still for an NDP minority government, shortly followed by "the crash", for which they will be unfairly blamed. No confidence vote and new elections all within two years of taking power. But based on current polling I'd say it looks like Harper will be getting a minority government. Not quite sure why he even wants to win. Economically he's kicked so many cans down his damn road for so long they will soon come rushing back towards him and the nation.