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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 02:31 PM
What a shame, goes to show you, you can die at any minute of any day.
RIP souls.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 03:07 PM
I can't even remember the last time there's been a large commercial airline crash in Europe. I wonder what the hell happened.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 04:32 PM
I could imagine no job worse than the guy who has to go to a crash site like that to identify and collect human remains.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 04:38 PM
Absolutely terrible. Not only did all of those people die, but they likely experienced unfathomable amounts of emotional and physical pain in the 8 minute descent.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 05:02 PM
Anyone think it could be a possible terrorist attack?
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 06:05 PM
Quote: (03-24-2015 05:02 PM)Drazen Wrote:
Anyone think it could be a possible terrorist attack?
I've heard terrorism is unlikely. Terrorists tend to be much more spectacular. They've found the black box, so only time will tell.
10/14/15: The day I learned that convicted terrorists are treated with more human dignity than veterans.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 06:12 PM
Any speculation provided by the media is bullshit.
The fact is the plane dropped 27,000' in 8 minutes, which means a descent of 3,300 feet/min. This is consistent with a controlled, emergency descent consciously initiated by the pilots. The most common reason for an emergency descent is rapid depressurization of the aircraft or an onboard fire. Other emergencies, including medical emergencies, would warrant a pilot to initiate such a descent only if near an airport intended for the emergency landing. The plane did not fall out of the sky at the speed of gravity.
As an airline pilot I cannot really think of many reasons this would happen. My only explanation is some type of explosion or fire. The pilots initiated a descent and by time they got to 10,000', the altitude typically chosen for level off, problems had compounded and they were unable to maintain altitude. They hit the ground at incredible speed, so its unlikely they were able to level off at all.
Another possible problem is a malfunction of flight instruments, causing the pilots to stall the wings and lose control. This has happened in the past with Airbus aircraft (Air France 447).
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-24-2015, 07:12 PM
Was there any may day call from the pilots? If not either the pilots were so busy trying to gain control that they didn't have time to call for an emergency, or they were incapacitated. Or less likely, pilot suicide like with that Egypt Air incident. Any other possibilities?
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 12:49 AM
The smell of burnt flesh is definitely unpleasant. RIP to those lost, hopefully some good will come of it and lessons will be learned that save lives in the future.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 01:33 AM
Is it just me or has the past ~year been a black swan for commercial plane crashes? I hardly remember any between 9/11/01 and the missing Malaysia flight, but since then it seems like every couple months or so.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 09:51 AM
DrewP I have been wondering the same thing. Have they been crashing and major news outlets just haven't been covering them or what? Definitely interesting.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 11:08 AM
Quote: (03-25-2015 09:51 AM)Ronald Reagan Wrote:
DrewP I have been wondering the same thing. Have they been crashing and major news outlets just haven't been covering them or what? Definitely interesting.
Airline crashes and cops using their fire arms against coloured aggrivators are the hot news items this year
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 11:22 AM
For those who are wondering why the pilots didn't send out a mayday is that communication is the last thing on their priority list during an emergency.*
They are trained to Aviate, Navigate, Communicate... in that order.
During an emergency, they focus on flying the damn plane above all else.
Once they have control of the plane, they navigate... looking for the closest airport or spot for an emergency landing.
Once they have identified a location to (safely) land, ONLY then they communicate... mayday, etc.
It seems counter intuitive, but when something goes wrong in a flight, it goes wrong fast. To save the flight, every second counts to a pilot. Better spend that time saving the plane than calling for help and waiting for an air traffic controller to reply.
* I have friends who are pilots, and I once aspired to be one myself.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 11:35 AM
Flight recorder data indicating loss of instruments, pilot panic and driving the aircraft into an unrecoverable stall in 3... 2... 1...
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 11:37 AM
More suspect than the lack of communication is the descent profile, which appears at this time to be both steady in terms of rate of descent and course taken while descending (3500 fpm would definitely have been noticed by the passengers but is not out of the ordinary, unlike SilkAir 185). This is unusual, typically in some sort of in flight emergency/upset you will see the course and descent rate go all over the place as the pilots try to understand the nature of what they're dealing with and attempt to save the a/c.
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No Survivors as Germanwings Airbus Carrying 150 Crashes in French Alps
03-25-2015, 04:23 PM
Quote: (03-24-2015 06:53 PM)Engineer Wrote:
Quote: (03-24-2015 06:12 PM)RIslander Wrote:
snip
Another possible problem is a malfunction of flight instruments, causing the pilots to stall the wings and lose control. This has happened in the past with Airbus aircraft (Air France 447).
Thought that particular problem was mitigated by updated software and pilot training? It was nearly 6 years ago.
RIP.
I'm not an Airbus pilot so I cannot comment on that. Pilots receive little training on failed flight instruments. The only resource is a checklist which has the pilots manually change air data computers to try and isolate the failed system. Most aircraft have 3-4 separate flight instrument systems.
Quote: (03-24-2015 07:12 PM)speakeasy Wrote:
Was there any may day call from the pilots? If not either the pilots were so busy trying to gain control that they didn't have time to call for an emergency, or they were incapacitated. Or less likely, pilot suicide like with that Egypt Air incident. Any other possibilities?
There's a saying in aviation "Aviate, Navigate, Communicate". In an emergency where the plane has lost control, the last thing on a pilot's mind is calling air traffic control. In the event of an controlled emergency descent initiated by the pilots, its highly unlikely that the pilots would not advise air traffic control. That's what makes this case strange.
Nearly all evidence points to that Egypt Air flight being brought down an uncontrolled stabilizer trim runaway or by a missile. The pilot said a prayer "I have put my faith in God's hands", a common thing for a Muslim man to do while under duress, and the media ran with it. A stabilizer trim runaway is when a panel on the tail moves to full deflection. Stabilizer trim is used to maintain level flight. If this runaway occurs, it may force the airplane in to an uncontrollable dive or climb, which is consistent with the aircraft's flight profile. This is a highly dangerous situation and something that pilots are now trained on. However, if the trim is not stopped before a certain point, depending on the aircraft and the loading, it may not be controllable.
Most people in the aviation community do not believe in the suicide theory.
This is also a plausible scenario for the Germanwings crash... More than likely the pilots would not think to make a mayday call.
“There is no global anthem, no global currency, no certificate of global citizenship. We pledge allegiance to one flag, and that flag is the American flag!” -DJT