Posts: 939
Threads: 0
Joined: Jun 2015
Reputation:
4
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-10-2016, 09:15 PM
I thought about betting on Trump, but after seeing him down 14% in poles. I just feel its not worth the risk. Even if the poll was before the debate. America votes with their emotions and that locker room tape probably cost him the election.
Growth Over Everything Else.
Posts: 295
Threads: 0
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation:
5
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-10-2016, 11:55 PM
@Savage - I'm using sportsbet.com.au, You should be able to use that, its an Australian website. The odds on that website varies I put in a $225 bet at 4.50 odds for Trump the other day and now its 4.75. Last week it was ranging from 2.7-3.5. I'm really inclined to just drop $1000 on Trump, but I'll wait til next week.
Posts: 842
Threads: 0
Joined: Jan 2013
Reputation:
16
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-11-2016, 04:10 AM
I put 230 $ on Trump yesterday at 4.40. Today they're at 4.20. I don't think we'll see juicier opportunities.
Wonder what the odds were when he announced. Did anyone here get in very early?
Phil Jackson, those tapes are already forgotten. The news cycle moves too fast. More and more people have 'Trump Fatigue', where they don't even care what he says anymore, because he routinely smack talks all the time.
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-11-2016, 09:45 AM
Yeah just saw this morning on bet365 he's at +400, up from +350 yesterday. Hillary on the other hand is now at -600.
Very early on he was at around +20 000 before any debate. I saw it at +12 000. I got in at +700.
Posts: 2,365
Threads: 0
Joined: Jan 2016
Reputation:
30
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-11-2016, 11:56 AM
To what extent are you guys estimating that the turnout is NOT going to be predicted by the polls/models currently employed?
The fact is that if it is record turnout, and I think it will be, Trump wins fairly easily.
There have been at least 3-4 times already in a year where people said he was finished. Each time it was wrong, and he bounced back. No?
Posts: 666
Threads: 0
Joined: Dec 2015
Reputation:
16
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-13-2016, 02:27 AM
(((Nate Silver))) models, seriously? You realize he's hardcore against Trump and has been wrong with every prediction this whole election?
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-13-2016, 02:58 AM
Today Trump was at +450. He'e gone up by 50 for the past few days. Waiting to see where it goes.
Posts: 198
Threads: 0
Joined: Feb 2014
Reputation:
0
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-14-2016, 03:28 PM
How is this working? Trump for the win is at 18 cents right now. So if he wins they'll give me 1$ per share?
Crap just saw it's not available for Canada.
No ugly women, just lazy women.
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-14-2016, 04:52 PM
bet 365 is available in Canada. I just threw another thousand on him because he's at +500 today.
Posts: 939
Threads: 0
Joined: Jun 2015
Reputation:
4
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-15-2016, 10:20 PM
Just put $100 on Trump.
MAGA
Growth Over Everything Else.
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-15-2016, 10:25 PM
Don't think its gonna get higher than +500. Its been there for a few days now
Posts: 1,116
Threads: 0
Joined: Feb 2015
Reputation:
14
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-15-2016, 10:51 PM
What do you guys reckon about Trump winning the popular vote by over 10%? Because ladbrokes.com has those odds at +2000.
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-15-2016, 11:50 PM
^nice find. I'm curious also
Posts: 1,159
Threads: 0
Joined: Feb 2016
Reputation:
19
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-16-2016, 12:28 AM
Betting sites & book keepers go off the irrationality of the buyers and sellers who get their information from the (((MSM))), (((pollsters))), and poll analysts like (((Nate Silver))). Even if Trump doesn't win the election it's likely his poll numbers will jump back before November 8th. Betfair.com.au has him at 6.4 currently. I can see that going to 3.0 before the election again. (((pollsters))) will show the race being neck and neck as it probably is right now according to LA Times poll rather than Trump being -7%.
PS: anyone that doubts the credibility of the pollsters, just look at who contributes funds to them. You'll see Open Society Foundations, Hillary campaigners, etc.
Posts: 666
Threads: 0
Joined: Dec 2015
Reputation:
16
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-16-2016, 06:31 AM
Welp, Trump has climbed to 6.0 over the last couples of days, but now he's trending back down, at 5.5 right now. Hope you guys bought in at 6.0 odds, those are pretty good multipliers considering that his win is pretty much assured by now
Posts: 2,003
Threads: 0
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation:
35
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-16-2016, 11:17 AM
Yeah just saw he's back down to +450
Posts: 1,159
Threads: 0
Joined: Feb 2016
Reputation:
19
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-17-2016, 05:54 AM
As the election comes to a close all the rigged polls will have to reflect reality or they will not be credible again. This us why the last polls in the brexit polling were off weeks and months before and suddenly began cranking out more accurate polling days before the election.
Posts: 2,025
Threads: 0
Joined: Sep 2012
Reputation:
63
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-17-2016, 08:05 AM
I just went on predictit looks like they have reached the maximum number of shares for the general election bet between Trump and Hillary. You can still vote for a Trump win by betting on who will win the VP.
Game/red pill article links
"Chicks dig power, men dig beauty, eggs are expensive, sperm is cheap, men are expendable, women are perishable." - Heartiste
Posts: 198
Threads: 0
Joined: Feb 2014
Reputation:
0
PredictIt.com - Betting on Real Life Futures and Politics
10-17-2016, 09:06 AM
Quote: (10-14-2016 04:52 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:
bet 365 is available in Canada. I just threw another thousand on him because he's at +500 today.
where do you go to bet ? I'm only finding sports and financial.
No ugly women, just lazy women.