[MidJack]

"Will a woman be elected U.S. President in 2016?" and "Which party will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election?" are also proxies for the presidential race.

(10-17-2016 08:05 AM)bacon Wrote:  

I just went on predictit looks like they have reached the maximum number of shares for the general election bet between Trump and Hillary. You can still vote for a Trump win by betting on who will win the VP.

[Sooth]

Far out, things are heating up. Tempted to chuck more on Trump before the odds plummet over this coming week with these videos and the debate.

[Enjoythedecline]

Got 20$ bucks on Trump for a win of 100$.

[redbeard]

Related, "How UFC Fighter Conor McGregor Paid for My Vietnam Vacation" by Victor Pride

[CaptainChardonnay]

^Looks like VP would be in for TRUMP according to how he puts money of guys in MMA

[Touchmybanana]

An AI that have accurately predicted the last three US election predicts a Trump win.

http://www.calgarysun.com/2016/10/28/don...ystem-says

Trump's odd is falling steadily. Now 3.65 compared to 5 a week ago.

[Ethan Hunt]

(10-28-2016 01:56 PM)Touchmybanana Wrote:  

An AI that have accurately predicted the last three US election predicts a Trump win.

http://www.calgarysun.com/2016/10/28/don...ystem-says

Trump's odd is falling steadily. Now 3.65 compared to 5 a week ago.

Movement on odds is largely down to FBI reopening Hillary's email scandal case. They will most likely return in a few days.

[AneroidOcean]

Can you guys please clarify for me (as I haven't been able to find it mentioned in this thread):

What are the fees involved with PredictIt?

I signed up and then learned about the 5% withdrawal fee (which is steep) and apparently there's a 10% transaction fee on funds where you win a significant amount (as opposed to lose)?

Up to 15% fees seems crazy high.

[Isaac Jordan]

(10-28-2016 03:13 PM)AneroidOcean Wrote:  

Can you guys please clarify for me (as I haven't been able to find it mentioned in this thread):

What are the fees involved with PredictIt?

They take 10% of your profits regardless of how much you win. Then, when you take your money out they charge 5% on the total you withdraw. So it's not a straight 15%, although this does make it harder to make money on "sure thing" type bets where shares are greater than $0.90 or so.

[[email protected]]

betfair.com.au is pretty legit. 5% commission on profit, free withdrawals, great odds.

[Malone]

Every time I try to go to one of these EU sites to bet on Trump I get redirected to a .es domain that only lets me bet on sports.

Fucking Spain.

[MOVSM]

What are other politics betting sites in US?

[Kepler]

I'm not sure if this has been discussed on other threads but could not find it in this thread. For anyone doing last minute bets on Trump or for any other sport, DO NOT take any bonuses that these bookie sites offer, this makes you susceptible to rollover requirements. Example below...

I believe bet365 has a 3x deposit + bonus rollover requirement, meaning if you deposit $100 and get a $100 bonus, you'd have to bet 3x$200 --> $600 before you can withdraw your earnings.

I'm sure most of you know about this, but just wanted to clarify for anyone out there interested in making last minute bets.

Otherwise, have any of you had any issues otherwise withdrawing from Bet365?

[Nascimento]

^^^ That only applies to the bonus amount.

What you actually deposit (and stake with) can be withdrawn at any time.

[Kepler]

(10-31-2016 02:07 PM)Nascimento Wrote:  

^^^ That only applies to the bonus amount.

What you actually deposit (and stake with) can be withdrawn at any time.

Ok, thanks for clearing that up!

[MidJack]

I don't think the markets on PredictIt have moved in proportion to events over the past few days. One of two things is happening:

1. What many of us have suspected, the markets were being manipulated, and that money won't leave until election day.

2. The Hillary bets are in denial and refuse to liquidate even though they should.

Or maybe both.

[getdownonit]

protip:

There are multiple markets where you can bet on essentially the same thing - a Trump victory.

There is a 2016 Presidential Party market, a President market, VP market, and a "will the next president be a woman" market.

Check all of these before buying to figure out the best odds.

While you're at it, 'NO' is typically cheaper than 'YES' for some reason despite betting against a party (taking the field) being a better or equivalent deal as voting for one party.

Right now, for example, you can bet that Trump will win, at $0.34, or you can bet that Kaine will NOT be VP (different market) for $0.28. No brainer

Don't be a chump, shop around and maximize your winnings

[Peregrine]

I've used bet365 for years and have never had issues withdrawing. They're a wholly professional outfit.

[jj90]

What's the most you guys have ever put on bet365? Have you gotten paid out and withdrawn with no issues?

[Lux Interior]

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

[Malone]

(11-02-2016 12:31 AM)Lux Interior Wrote:  

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

Yes, please do this Lux. We want you to succeed. Feel free to post your betting slip here for extra congratulations!

[Kid Twist]

(11-02-2016 06:47 AM)Malone Wrote:  

(11-02-2016 12:31 AM)Lux Interior Wrote:  

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

Yes, please do this Lux. We want you to succeed. Feel free to post your betting slip here for extra congratulations!

Yeah Lux, I dare you to post something. I'll refrain from calling you names here because I know you're FOS anyway, and the gnashing of your teeth will be satisfying enough.

Trump to the House!

[Enjoythedecline]

(11-02-2016 11:14 AM)Kid Twist Wrote:  

(11-02-2016 06:47 AM)Malone Wrote:  

(11-02-2016 12:31 AM)Lux Interior Wrote:  

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

Yes, please do this Lux. We want you to succeed. Feel free to post your betting slip here for extra congratulations!

Yeah Lux, I dare you to post something. I'll refrain from calling you names here because I know you're FOS anyway, and the gnashing of your teeth will be satisfying enough.

Trump to the House!

Do not underestimate the high energy of Trump's supporter.

[Lux Interior]

(11-02-2016 11:14 AM)Kid Twist Wrote:  

(11-02-2016 06:47 AM)Malone Wrote:  

(11-02-2016 12:31 AM)Lux Interior Wrote:  

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

Yes, please do this Lux. We want you to succeed. Feel free to post your betting slip here for extra congratulations!

Yeah Lux, I dare you to post something. I'll refrain from calling you names here because I know you're FOS anyway, and the gnashing of your teeth will be satisfying enough.

Trump to the House!

Ok my good man I will make a gentleman's wager with you here for all to see.
I will bet you $1000 that trump won't win.

[polymath]

(11-02-2016 12:31 AM)Lux Interior Wrote:  

Put the house on Clinton.
Trump needs a miracle.

It seems like that's exactly what's happening, with Comey coming forward and telling America the truth about new evidence in the FBI investigation.

Not to mention Wikileaks...

• Donna Brazile sharing debate questions with Hillary, which has led CNN to cut ties with her
• DNC officials discussing different ways of using religion to sabotage Bernie, calling him a "doofus" and strategizing that Hillary should "co-opt" Bernie's progressive views to steal young voters from him during the primary
• Hillary's globalist dream as told to Wall Street executives behind closed doors
• Emails from Huma and others about foreigners paying money in exchange for access to HRC, including foreigners who support ISIS financially and otherwise
• An email from Podesta to Clinton categorizing people by discriminatory criteria alone, and referring to it as "food groups"
• "The Clintons won't forget what their friends have done for them"
• Obama corresponded with HRC's private server and "we need to clean this up"
• Hillary has public positions that differ from what she believes in private, and believes this to be a good principle for public servants
  

In retrospect, maybe the only miracle is that half of Americans seem totally complacent about all of this.

I sold some stock today because I don't want to be caught long the market if "smoking gun" emails are released (by wikileaks or the FBI) and Trump ends up as the clear frontrunner on election day.

Nothing personal against Hillary. Just starting to see her legs come out from under her in the home stretch.