Current balance: 222.50
Unbelievable.
Unbelievable.
Basketball gambling journal
Greg olsen under 53.5 receiving yards odd 1.66 bet365 stake 1
Current balance:291.50
Julius Randle under 21.5 rebounds, assists and points odd 1.90 stake 1 bet365
Levert over 9.5 points odd 1.66 betfair stake 1
Current balance: 447.50
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/b41c39.../r/540790/ fat hit on heavy favs.
Like duke and auburn Wednesday.
Like duke and auburn Wednesday.
Exciting thread Pitt, keep it up.
Duke team total Over 80.5 vs Indiana.
Duke has too many scorer's, most importantly Marvin Bagley. I typically don't love betting overs, but this is an exception as Bagley dominates with post moves and high percentage layups and dunks. Indiana is far from the best defensive team to begin with...but who is going to stop Bagley? He has 30+ in his last two games.
Duke dropped at least 87 on both Michigan St (WITHOUT Bagley) and Florida. Absolutely love this bet. 3 units for the first time this year.
Other marginal one unit bets,
Evansville-New Mexico U138 - Evansville seems to be the team that dictates the pace in every game they play, and that pace is slow. No team has scored over 63 against them this year. This is my favorite of the three one unit bets.
Louisiana Tech (+11) at Alabama - I watched Louisiana Tech last week, they haven't played top notch competition yet, but they are 6-0 and not a bad team. I picked TX-Arlington (+10.5) on the road at Alabama last week and even put a small bet on the moneyline. They ended up losing by only 1 point straight up. Alabama is coming off the super weird 3-on-5 game vs Minnesota. Everyone seems to be impressed that they cut a 14-point lead to 3 with only 3 players, but is ignoring the fact they were down 12 at halftime before the craziness took place. One of their key freshman is questionable with an ankle injury sustained in that game. Also, I think most teams would be either much more or much less motivated/disciplined following a shit show game like that - my gut tells me Alabama is the latter.
Wyoming (-6.5) at Denver U - No specific reason, I just think Wyoming is just a much better team and homecourt advantage won't mean much. This one is really marginal also to be honest.
Duke has too many scorer's, most importantly Marvin Bagley. I typically don't love betting overs, but this is an exception as Bagley dominates with post moves and high percentage layups and dunks. Indiana is far from the best defensive team to begin with...but who is going to stop Bagley? He has 30+ in his last two games.
Duke dropped at least 87 on both Michigan St (WITHOUT Bagley) and Florida. Absolutely love this bet. 3 units for the first time this year.
Other marginal one unit bets,
Evansville-New Mexico U138 - Evansville seems to be the team that dictates the pace in every game they play, and that pace is slow. No team has scored over 63 against them this year. This is my favorite of the three one unit bets.
Louisiana Tech (+11) at Alabama - I watched Louisiana Tech last week, they haven't played top notch competition yet, but they are 6-0 and not a bad team. I picked TX-Arlington (+10.5) on the road at Alabama last week and even put a small bet on the moneyline. They ended up losing by only 1 point straight up. Alabama is coming off the super weird 3-on-5 game vs Minnesota. Everyone seems to be impressed that they cut a 14-point lead to 3 with only 3 players, but is ignoring the fact they were down 12 at halftime before the craziness took place. One of their key freshman is questionable with an ankle injury sustained in that game. Also, I think most teams would be either much more or much less motivated/disciplined following a shit show game like that - my gut tells me Alabama is the latter.
Wyoming (-6.5) at Denver U - No specific reason, I just think Wyoming is just a much better team and homecourt advantage won't mean much. This one is really marginal also to be honest.
Courtney lee under 20.5 points, rebounds and assists odd 1.83 bet365 stake 1
Dragic over 19.5 points odd 1.90 betfair stake 1
Quote: (11-29-2017 02:37 PM)Eddie Winslow Wrote:
Duke team total Over 80.5 vs Indiana.
Duke has too many scorer's, most importantly Marvin Bagley. I typically don't love betting overs, but this is an exception as Bagley dominates with post moves and high percentage layups and dunks. Indiana is far from the best defensive team to begin with...but who is going to stop Bagley? He has 30+ in his last two games.
Duke dropped at least 87 on both Michigan St (WITHOUT Bagley) and Florida. Absolutely love this bet. 3 units for the first time this year.
Other marginal one unit bets,
Evansville-New Mexico U138 - Evansville seems to be the team that dictates the pace in every game they play, and that pace is slow. No team has scored over 63 against them this year. This is my favorite of the three one unit bets.
Louisiana Tech (+11) at Alabama - I watched Louisiana Tech last week, they haven't played top notch competition yet, but they are 6-0 and not a bad team. I picked TX-Arlington (+10.5) on the road at Alabama last week and even put a small bet on the moneyline. They ended up losing by only 1 point straight up. Alabama is coming off the super weird 3-on-5 game vs Minnesota. Everyone seems to be impressed that they cut a 14-point lead to 3 with only 3 players, but is ignoring the fact they were down 12 at halftime before the craziness took place. One of their key freshman is questionable with an ankle injury sustained in that game. Also, I think most teams would be either much more or much less motivated/disciplined following a shit show game like that - my gut tells me Alabama is the latter.
Wyoming (-6.5) at Denver U - No specific reason, I just think Wyoming is just a much better team and homecourt advantage won't mean much. This one is really marginal also to be honest.
Duke crushed over as expected with nearly 4 minutes left in the game, Evansville under hit (not as close as the total would suggest), LA Tech nearly won straight up.
Only loser is my least favorite pick that I got lazy about and had no strong reasoning behind. Lesson learned.
Feeling confident in my analysis.
current balance:247.50
Lebron james over 7.5 assists odd 1.66 stake 1
Joe ingles over 4.5 assists odd 2.20 stake 1
NFl
Alfred morris over 13.5 attempts rush yards odd 1.90 stake 1
swearinger under 5.5 tackles and assists 1.90 stake 1
all at bet365
Joe ingles over 4.5 assists odd 2.20 stake 1
NFl
Alfred morris over 13.5 attempts rush yards odd 1.90 stake 1
swearinger under 5.5 tackles and assists 1.90 stake 1
all at bet365
Favorite Bet:
Texas Tech ML (+125) vs Seton Hall @ Madison Square Garden - Texas Tech is a very good team of mostly seniors and they have been absolutely crushing teams all year. Seton Hall lost at home to Rhode Island. I'm not really sold on Seton Hall aside from their great big man Angel Delgado. I was pretty shocked to see Texas Tech as an underdog. 1.33 units here.
Others, in order of most confidence:
UNC Wilmington at East Carolina U159 - East Carolina head coach got fired this week and this will be there first game without him. UNC Wilmington has been focusing more recently on defense per interviews with the coach. I think ECU's defensive intensity/effort will be up and offensive flow will be down with the coach in charge. I don't think both teams will score close to 80 points each. 1 unit. Also did a 1 unit parlay with Texas Tech ML, this bet, and Mich St ML @ -280. Return is just under 5 units.
UCF Team Total U 66.5 - UCF is averaging 44 points over their last two games against good compeition, a category that Missou falls into. Missou has also held a number of other shitty teams under 60 points this season. It would be impressive for UCF to magically figure out how to score 50% more points toinight. 1 unit.
NDST Vs Miss St Under 136.5 - ND St is averaging ~60 points on the road and Miss St is beating people up on the defensive end. They also aren't the best offensive team - the won their last home game 59-56 over Jacksonville St. I'm looking for a similar score. 1 unit.
If people like/care at all about my picks let me know - these write ups are time intensive.
Texas Tech ML (+125) vs Seton Hall @ Madison Square Garden - Texas Tech is a very good team of mostly seniors and they have been absolutely crushing teams all year. Seton Hall lost at home to Rhode Island. I'm not really sold on Seton Hall aside from their great big man Angel Delgado. I was pretty shocked to see Texas Tech as an underdog. 1.33 units here.
Others, in order of most confidence:
UNC Wilmington at East Carolina U159 - East Carolina head coach got fired this week and this will be there first game without him. UNC Wilmington has been focusing more recently on defense per interviews with the coach. I think ECU's defensive intensity/effort will be up and offensive flow will be down with the coach in charge. I don't think both teams will score close to 80 points each. 1 unit. Also did a 1 unit parlay with Texas Tech ML, this bet, and Mich St ML @ -280. Return is just under 5 units.
UCF Team Total U 66.5 - UCF is averaging 44 points over their last two games against good compeition, a category that Missou falls into. Missou has also held a number of other shitty teams under 60 points this season. It would be impressive for UCF to magically figure out how to score 50% more points toinight. 1 unit.
NDST Vs Miss St Under 136.5 - ND St is averaging ~60 points on the road and Miss St is beating people up on the defensive end. They also aren't the best offensive team - the won their last home game 59-56 over Jacksonville St. I'm looking for a similar score. 1 unit.
If people like/care at all about my picks let me know - these write ups are time intensive.
@ Eddie Winslow I like your detailed write-ups and I also fired a bit of cash on Texas Tech game because I agree with your analysis since it is a good value play.
Friday, shooting for $5800. Manhattan, Purdue, Thunder, Spurs, Warriors
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/cbf0aa.../r/540790/
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/cbf0aa.../r/540790/
Current balance: 425.08
Derrick favors over 7.5 rebounds stake 1 odd 1.83 @ bet365
Current balance: 508.08 USD
Initial balance: 1000 USD
Initial balance: 1000 USD
Bradley Beal over 22.5 points stake 1, odd 1.72 @ bet365
ncaab
central michigan -1.5 odd 1.90 @ bet365 stake 1
ncaab
central michigan -1.5 odd 1.90 @ bet365 stake 1
Current balance: 671.72
Initial balance:1000
Initial balance:1000
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