Quote: (10-26-2011 06:26 PM)Brian Wrote:
let me ask you a question - if the top 1%, whatever that particular cutoff may entail, all decided to close their businesses and fire/layoff all their employees what would happen to the economy?
I don't agree with that because IMO the US economy is fucked period. Those employees that you fire/layoff are the backbone of US GDP.
I think the part of the problem is the wages of the 99% have barely kept up with inflation since I believe the early 80's. So, now you take away credit for the average consumer and asset bubbles (taking cash out of your appreciating house) and the problem that has been masked for decades is now out in the open: most people start to feel the squeeze as their compensation has barely kept up with current expenses. How will GDP grow? The economy has to slowdown as GDP is 2/3 consumer spending and we officially have a 100% debt to GDP as of this week, so govt. spending is out of the question to fill the remaining 1/3.
The top 1% fully have the right to keep most of the money to themselves, but at some point, the 99% who are struggling, out of work, sick, disabled etc. will revolt. The veil of civility falls apart regardless who's fault it is - it's human nature. If some of you 1%'ers want to go down to Occupy Wall Street with a whiteboard and a marker and explain Econ101, be my guest, but I wouldn't suggest it.
I attribute our recession a huge part to wall street (my firm included) and those who had real jobs and their firms went out of business are wondering why the tax payers bailed out the banks and not their firms? These are the people I sympathize with as opposed to some hippie who got a degree in art and is looking for an outlet to complain. A decent amout of the 99% grew up in middle class households, have useful degrees, and envisioned a similar life for themselves. Basically, its like taking away a bone from a dogs mouth and you shouldn't be surprised if it bites back. Sadly, the American dream for most is just that, a dream.
I hate to be pessimistic, but because of the wealth distribution, IMO the US economy is fucked. Corporations may make money as they expand internationally, but that won't do much domestically. I'm not sure how you fix this inequality in income? Someone told me in Japan that the CEO only can make a fixed multiple of the lowest salaried employee, so therefore if the CEO gets a raise, so do the employees. Whether this is true or not, it seems like a good idea. Ultimately, the CEO maybe the visionary, but it did take the employees underneath him to make it happen. If you didn't need the employees, why have them on payroll? I'm sure there are shortcomings to this, but it's the best model I've heard of to keep the economy going and people content, especially if you have a market like the US with no savers.
In answer to your original question, although I'm not the 1%, I'm relatively close and can agree that the 1% has mostly worked their tails off to get there and taken more risks than the 99%-there are always tradeoffs. Having said this, to expect there won't be consequences down the road as the economy gets derailed is ignorant. What the 1% needs to consider is that at some point the way things are going, will the US become third world whereas the standard of living for the average person declines such that that the 99% have nothing to lose and resort to crime. Does the 1% want to live in a compound and have their kids dropped off to school with bodyguards, etc.? It's sounds like something that would happen in Mexico, but if the US continues the way that it has, I wouldn't be surprised if this is where we end up decades from now.
I like to think of this way: I live in a doorman building. The doormen are great, do their jobs well, and I can count of them do whatever I need even if I'm not around. During the holidays, I know I have to put some cash in an envelope for the entire building staff to supplement their working class compensation. If I don't "grease the wheels" I know that my packages or drycleaning might get lost or should my toilet clog, the maintenance guy will take forever to respond. I'm not saying its right, but I'm willing to send a bit down the chain to keep everything working smoothly.