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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 03:02 PM
We're just two days from the New Hampshire Primary, and with the last debate out of the way, it's time for another round of predictions.
This one should be much easier. Trump has been leading for a long time by a solid lead, and it looks like the media have basically resigned to Trump winning NH. The question is by how much?
Just for the record, I don't think anyone got the Iowa prediction right, though 11 of us (including me) did correctly predict he would get 2nd place.
My prediction: Trump gets a solid win (10-19%).
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 03:08 PM
I would love to say "yuuuuuuuuuge", but after Iowa it's best to not be too enthusiastic.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 05:43 PM
Trump wins by a solid margin means America WINS by a solid margin!
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 05:56 PM
Win by a solid margin.
Trump is against very powerful, very evil and extremely desperate people.
They will throw everything against him, no doubt.
Hang on, Emperor!
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 06:15 PM
NH is a shoe in. After the debate, the undecideds will not coalesce around any one candidate. Divide and conquer.
A year from now you'll wish you started today
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-07-2016, 06:17 PM
Trump wins for sure. Rubios terrible performance and Crackhouse Cruz's vote stealing scandal probably cemented his lead.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-08-2016, 04:09 PM
This is it boys, this is the last time the betting odds on a Trump republican nomination and Trump president will be favorable for betting your money. They have already dropped from the beginning of last week (meaning people give him more chances), and if he wins now they'll just plummet and become unattractive for betting. So now is your last chance to cash in on the coming Trumpenkrieg.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-08-2016, 08:24 PM
I give him 10-20%.
My main concern is establishment fuckery, I worry they don't even count the votes, just sit in a boardroom and come up with results that are plausible but hurt Trump.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-08-2016, 09:46 PM
I'm thinking he will win but things will have also tightened up.
If only you knew how bad things really are.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 03:03 AM
That's a sure bet.
"A stripper last night brought up "Rich Dad Poor Dad" when I mentioned, "Think and Grow Rich""
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 06:32 AM
Yeah, I'm hoping for the best but as always, expecting the worst and not becoming too invested. Aside from possible voter fraud, which cannot really be quantified at this point and so is pointless to discuss, there are other factors at play.
According to some of the analysis of the polling that I've read, Trump has a solid 30% base of support, but the other 70% of the NH electorate is pretty hard core anti Trump. So if there was a consensus establishment candidate at this point, Trump would pretty much be screwed. As it is, the 3 guys who come after Trump are basically evenly split right now, so anti-Trump cucks will have no idea who to vote for in order to defeat him. Still, it's possible that by sheer chance one of Rubio/Cruz/Bush will receive a disproportionate share of the "anyone but Trump" vote.
Furthermore, NH is a much more liberal state than Iowa and the primary process is a lot easier than caucusing. So, it's possible that leftist agitators will try to vote in the republican primary to try and stump the Trump.
Finally, at least according to the articles I've seen, Trump's supports comes disproportionately from the never voted/usually don't vote demographic. Hopefully they turn out this time, but the proof will be in the pudding.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 08:12 AM
If Trump doesn't win NH, time to start buying/prepping the guns and ammunition. It will be clear that the elites will make sure that Trump doesn't get into office.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 08:27 AM
The establishment is probably not stupid enough to have Trump lose New Hamshire. They know people will get suspicious. They probably have an establishment candidate win a strong second place, if they rig it at all.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 08:59 AM
I wonder if that is allowed though? Isn't it supposed to be done by the state? How can a candidate participate in the monitoring process of -secret- ballot? Won't that be charged with trying to tamper with the vote?
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 09:59 AM
Don't you have election observers in USA...? Both the state/federal government and each candidate should be able to send as many people as they want to monitor the voting process and vote counts/recounts, with the only requirement being that they peacefully cooperate and don't disturb anything.
Incidentally, that's how I know for sure that fucked up European politics are the result of European voters actually being retarded and not of any election fraud or manipulation.
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 08:15 PM
For the record I voted:
Trump wins by a YUGE margin (over 20% from 2nd place)*
Vice-Captain - #TeamWaitAndSee
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New Hampshire Primary Prediction
02-09-2016, 08:18 PM
delete
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