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South Carolina Primary Predictions
#1

South Carolina Primary Predictions

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All the town halls are done. Most of the big news should be out of the way (I don't think anything is going to top the Trump VS The Pope story). The vote is only one day away so it's probably not enough time for any actual news to sway voters, at least the ones that have already decided (and I think the number of undecideds is small, only around 10% this round).

Let's set our predictions. Same options as last time, since they seemed to be good.

My prediction: I'll say Trump is going to get the win, but it will be very close (I think a 7-9% win over 2nd place). Trump, as godly as he is, can only take so much fire from everyone and everything. I do hope I'm wrong.

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#2

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Make it a poll.

Also, I predict a win comparable to New Hampshire. Maybe a little closer.
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#3

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Trump by a landslide just like New Hampshire.
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#4

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Quote: (02-19-2016 01:05 AM)iop890 Wrote:  

Make it a poll.

Also, I predict a win comparable to New Hampshire. Maybe a little closer.

I was timed out of the website for a while in between starting the thread and finishing up the poll, should be up now.
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#5

South Carolina Primary Predictions

I think the win will be smaller than we expect, but since SC is a winner-take-all state it doesn't matter.

What are the odds of Rubio, Bush and Kasich suddenly dropping out in tandem and telling their voters to vote for Cruz, like happened in France with everyone banding against Front Nationale?

"Imagine" by HCE | Hitler reacts to Battle of Montreal | An alternative use for squid that has never crossed your mind before
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#6

South Carolina Primary Predictions

I am guessing 8 to 12% margin. I doubt the other candidates would rally around Cruz, he isn't really an establishment candidate, it is possible that Bush or Rubio will drop out after super Tuesday to consolidate the cuck vote.
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#7

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Quote: (02-19-2016 04:05 AM)Handsome Creepy Eel Wrote:  

I think the win will be smaller than we expect, but since SC is a winner-take-all state it doesn't matter.

What are the odds of Rubio, Bush and Kasich suddenly dropping out in tandem and telling their voters to vote for Cruz, like happened in France with everyone banding against Front Nationale?

Trump reframes the conversation by saying the establishment backs Cruz.

Trumps tactics are extremely simple yet deadly effective with the right attitude. Deflect any kind of negativity and amplify the positive.

Its that simple and every man should be studying Trump on not only his campaign persona, but his game. I've seen more women get wet watching Trump than any other candidate outside Obama ever. This man oozes confidence and it comes with his ability to deflect attention away from anything negative.
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#8

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Quote: (02-19-2016 04:05 AM)Handsome Creepy Eel Wrote:  

What are the odds of Rubio, Bush and Kasich suddenly dropping out in tandem and telling their voters to vote for Cruz, like happened in France with everyone banding against Front Nationale?

They should do that because it would hurt Trump for sure but these guys (Bush, Rubio, Kasich) have such a big ego that it probably won't happen until there is no way for them to win. Bush should have dropped out after Iowa. Rubio is the establishments new darling after Bush has flopped so I don't see him going anywhere for awhile. Kasich is such a weird guy who knows what is going on in that man's head.

The fact that the Republicans might have a brokered convention may lead these losers to stick around until the end thinking they still have a chance.
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#9

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Quote: (02-19-2016 06:19 AM)username Wrote:  

Quote: (02-19-2016 04:05 AM)Handsome Creepy Eel Wrote:  

What are the odds of Rubio, Bush and Kasich suddenly dropping out in tandem and telling their voters to vote for Cruz, like happened in France with everyone banding against Front Nationale?

They should do that because it would hurt Trump for sure but these guys (Bush, Rubio, Kasich) have such a big ego that it probably won't happen until there is no way for them to win. Bush should have dropped out after Iowa. Rubio is the establishments new darling after Bush has flopped so I don't see him going anywhere for awhile. Kasich is such a weird guy who knows what is going on in that man's head.

The fact that the Republicans might have a brokered convention may lead these losers to stick around until the end thinking they still have a chance.

That's just it, they do have a chance because the RNC could force one of them on us if they wanted and that would likely be the end of the Republican party. If Trump has a huge delegate lead and enough delegates to win the nomination but for some reason the RNC doesn't give him the nomination, it will be very interesting to say the lease.
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#10

South Carolina Primary Predictions

They're going to try some hanky panky at the Nevada caucus and the Republican convention. I'm not going to be doing any cartwheels after South Carolina no matter how big Trump wins, this war is far from over. The establishment will not quietly back down and go away.
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#11

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Trump 31%
Rubio 20%
Cruz 18%
Kasich 11%
Carson 10%
Bush 10%

Trump takes all the delegates!
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#12

South Carolina Primary Predictions

Quote: (02-19-2016 04:05 AM)Handsome Creepy Eel Wrote:  

I think the win will be smaller than we expect, but since SC is a winner-take-all state it doesn't matter.

What are the odds of Rubio, Bush and Kasich suddenly dropping out in tandem and telling their voters to vote for Cruz, like happened in France with everyone banding against Front Nationale?

I doubt either of these guys drop out before 3/15 when OH and FL have their primaries. Because Rubio, Bush, and Kasich will be splitting the GOPe votes until then none of them will break away from the pack or catch up to Trump. I see Rubio as the only one left after 3/15 and by then Trump should have enough of a delegate lead to coast into Cleveland.

If they were smart, Bush and Kasich would bow out after SC and endorse Rubio. Ego will prevent that from happening.
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#13

South Carolina Primary Predictions

I predicted a solid margin.
Congrats to those who voted the same.
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