Quote: (08-14-2013 12:15 AM)Samseau Wrote:
Quote: (08-14-2013 12:07 AM)Walderschmidt Wrote:
Quote: (08-13-2013 01:39 AM)Samseau Wrote:
One thing that seems likely nowadays is repealing the one-child policy. There's a lot of rumors floating around that the next Chinese prime minster will do so, but we shall see.
Otherwise, without some kind of internal growth, the slowing global economy threatens to crush the export based nature of the Chinese economy.
They have not repealed completely - but scaled it back. Since I last visited China, it looks like one must pay around 30,000 Yuan (or some other sum of money) for permission to have a second child.
Wald
I saw rumors that they would allow 2 children per child in 2014 or 2015. Could have a major impact.
So, by the financial component, they are trying keep the poor from breeding and giving the financially privileged a way to produce more children.
From the article, it sounds like China has a significant underclass that is incredibly poor.
I see this in America, as I noted in an article I wrote here, that it isn't so much that the wrong people are breeding, but that the right people are not having kids.
Take the forum - a bunch of aware and intelligent men who are keen on self-betterment. In the long run, that sounds like men who would make good fathers, as they think for themselves and know how to work through personal issues and improve themselves. Given the realities of family law, hypergamy and many other issues, many men who would make good fathers are significantly discouraged. I have taken Family Law in law school - I 100% understand the apprehension any man has starting a family in America.
As for the wrong people having kids, I see this in my poor hometown with all the high school dropouts having kids - usually multiple kids. Those women that "made it" are my age, with no kids and often not even a serious boyfriend.
Oh, yes, the women will make partner or achieve X or Y position at the corporation or government agency. Yet, she will be 32 or 35 and casting about for a child, maybe a husband.
You have the have-nots having kids, while the haves not breeding. You could call it the privileged appropriating the wombs of the disprivileged, but the reality is that the school system is going to be further stressed with more kids born without fathers that have crappy mothers and older, career women giving birth to kids with disorders because they wait to 39 to give birth to a kid that is born with developmental disorders.
I hear Zerohedge talk alot about economic collapse, but I have the suspicion America will wallow through weak growth through the years but will be destroyed by social collapse. The social conservative in me wins out over my hunches as an economic libertarian, but still, the demographics for America do not look good - the same in China.