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Forex trading
01-17-2010, 09:00 PM
L'Étranger,
Cool post, I will check it. I have never been big on Forex.
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01-18-2010, 10:10 AM
Isn't forex trading one of the riskiest ways to invest?
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01-18-2010, 12:12 PM
" Isn't forex trading one of the riskiest ways to invest? "
Yes. Not for the faint of heart or the beginner.
However, in investing (and many times in life), the greater the risk, the greater the potential reward.
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01-20-2010, 12:05 AM
"Hopefully G will not steal anymore punchlines frome me... (I doubt so)"
Ha. Did I bite that one from you?
Its possible, but keep in mind, I have done a tour of duty in the commodities world. I got tons of financial lines stored in the back parts of my brain waiting to re-surface.
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01-20-2010, 09:50 PM
Speculating in forex (or stocks, for that matter) as an amateur is just plain stupid. You have no information advantage. You are climbing into the ring with ranked heavyweights. They will eat you. It's time and energy much better spent developing revenue in an area where you DO have information advantages.
I sank time into developing an equity statarb model, which worked for a while. Then it stopped working. In the end it was a waste of time and I should have just been working harder on business.
The only viable use for a personal forex account is to hedge currency risks, because you do business across currencies, or whatever.
Having read widely and dabbled much with speculation I have come to the conclusion that Harry Browne's permanent portfolio model is all anyone should be doing. Allocate equally between equities, bonds, gold, and cash (money market). Re-balance annually. Try to diversify internationally, which is easy to do now: just pick a good global stock fund and a good global AAA sovereign debt fund. Keep some of your portfolio outside your home country. My gold is in a vault overseas.
This portfolio will grow or stay flat in any of a deflationary, inflationary, or boom environment. It has a great 200 year track record. Any time spent trying to beat this portfolio is time you could spend better making money in business.
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01-20-2010, 11:48 PM
"time and energy much better spent developing revenue in an area where you DO have information advantages."
Great point. I will only step to stocks where I know much, much more about than your average bear. So to speak.
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01-24-2010, 01:12 PM
Kingkong you didn't read Zurich Axioms, didnt you.
To diversify your portfolio is the safest way to make money. But also the safest to not get rich. "Neither rich nor poor, the middle class".
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01-24-2010, 02:06 PM
I am advocating "going all in" on a revenue producing business venture. "Diversifying" away from business into active speculation is stupid, because there is much lower hanging, lower risk, higher return fruit.
Harry Browne's "Permanent Portfolio" is an excellent low distraction way to preserve and grow what capital you have that is not tied up directly in your business endeavors. It is excellent at avoiding volatility while achieving decent returns, and the businessman cannot afford the distraction of volatility.
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02-04-2010, 06:51 PM
Today we had a great day.
The Euro tanked. Hard.
I personally almost made a profit in the 5 digits, this one day only, thanks to the power of leverage.
The trade was a short on the Euro/Yen for those interested.
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04-02-2010, 03:38 PM
Interesting thanks for the info LÈtranger
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04-02-2010, 08:00 PM
L'ETranger,
May I ask about your story of how you got into trading? How well your doing--no need for numbers. I think some of us may learn a thing or two. Especially since all of us here like to travel and trading is something that can be done anywhere.
Or anyone else who might be successful with trading. I have always been interested in this area and it would be a dream to become a great trader and travel abroad at the same time. Thanks,
Rob
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04-07-2010, 10:18 AM
Thanks Amish.
That is pretty much were I am. I have always into the stock market but I got out of it because I just its too hard unless you have a lot of time on your hand, and are very smart. I know a few cats that have the right jobs on wall street and even those guys don't make consistent profits. But I do think there is a lot of potential for making a killing in the markets.
About poker. I've been playing recreational for a while. I'm just starting to take it more serious and I think I should stick with it because I know it a lot better than the market and it's also a big passion for me.
Rob
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Forex trading
10-24-2010, 08:41 PM
Quote: (01-18-2010 10:10 AM)Roosh Wrote:
Isn't forex trading one of the riskiest ways to invest?
Isn't keeping all your money in U.S. dollars, undiversified across other currencies, one of the riskiest ways to invest?
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10-31-2010, 04:01 PM
Hey L'étranger have you read the Black Swan by Taleb?
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Forex trading
10-31-2010, 08:35 PM
Those who "say" don't "know".
Those who "know" don't "say".