That's a bit far out there man. Unless Putin can somehow engineer a really strong pretext for occupying most of Ukraine, he won't have nearly enough support at home for such a drastic move, - Russians won't willingly march into Ukraine without a clear understanding why it needs to be done. I can't even think what that pretext may be - maybe blowing a nuclear station or two by neo nazis, that type of thing, Chernobyl 2.0? - which would demonstrate complete inability of Ukrainians to self-organize and invite West/Russia to split the country and manage it that way.
I think the more likely scenario is for Putin to keep meddling in east Ukraine: if Putin can get Lugansk, Donetsk and Kharkov, that's a major success. Ukraine will never agree and as a country with a territorial conflict, they can't be accepted to NATO as per their chapter, - that should be good enough.
I think the more likely scenario is for Putin to keep meddling in east Ukraine: if Putin can get Lugansk, Donetsk and Kharkov, that's a major success. Ukraine will never agree and as a country with a territorial conflict, they can't be accepted to NATO as per their chapter, - that should be good enough.