[tpiddy]

Lets take a look at how I fared for my 2014 predictions.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

In the manosphere
Some huge issue draws the manosphere to record levels of national attentions, potentially around the lack of due process around college campuses sexual offenses

Correct - The UVA rape story was a huge story but didn't focus quite as much on the manosphere as I likely imagined. What's interesting is the intellectual debate around certain topics is picking up manosphere ideas and not necessarily crediting them, which could be a good thing overall. Additionally GamerGate brought the manosphere to record awareness.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Vigilante groups start attacking manosphere and dox key personalities or expose all details of forum members (please invest in security Roosh!)

Mostly correct - Doxxing has become a big issue and some notable people related to gamer-gate have been affected. We haven't seen any very high profile attacks though.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

In the US:
Record highs on the stockmarket
Continued slow recovery of unemployment and slow lowering of the deficit

Correct - The bears and doom and gloom crowd continue to miss gains in the stock market. To top it off they were likely heavy gold and commodities and not only missed upside but got a huge wack from the falling oil prices.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Obamacare starts becoming less of a drag on democratic party and 2014 elections are a wash for dems and reps
Immigration reform finally passes with a path to citizenship for most illegals

Semi-Correct - Obamacare is likely more popular now and enrollment is definitely up but we have seen some notable democrats attack it a bit. It remains to be seen if it will be a real negative in the 2016 election for democrats. Immigration reform did not pass but Obama acted alone.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Other states pass weed legalization/decriminalization

Correct - The pro-weed lobby continues to get higher.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Hillary starts looking inevitable to be the next president, but an anti-Hillary progressive wing starts looking for a candidate to consolidate around

Correct - Elizabeth Warren is a household name among most democrats who want someone more progressive than Hillary but she won't run. Jim Webb is the only other person who has gotten any buzz on the democratic side.


Worldwide:

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Ukraine instability gets worse with talk of potential breakup of the country

Semi-Correct - With the jet liner and other unresolved issues the regional stability isn't there yet.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Thailand instability gets worse and the Thai King finally passes reigniting a crisis

Mostly incorrect - Thailand was fairly stable this year and the King still reigns.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

One other TBD country has a major leadership crisis

Incorrect? - We didn't see Cuba, Venezuela, Egypt, North Korea or any other really notable countries have a real leadership crisis. The closest thing you cold argue was Hong Kong protests.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

Assad still in power in Syria by end of 2014
Iran negotiations go well and talks of attacking Iran become muted

Correct - But the middle east is a mess still regardless.

(01-26-2014 08:51 PM)tpiddy Wrote:  

The negative effects of Japan's money printing begin to finally get noticed and taken seriously near the end of 2014

Mostly Incorrect - Yen continued to weaken, Japan went into recession but the money printing is still full force and the talk of Japan potentially defaulting or having some kind of currency crisis hasn't really occurred this year.

Overall not a bad record, looks about like a 10 good calls and 3 not so good ones. How'd everyone else do?

Time to start thinking about 2015 predictions.