Quote: (08-14-2013 07:01 AM)Kristian Wrote:
As well as they are well-known as being an intelligent and millenarial culture,they know how to wisely face their problems in a silent and collective way.
They're not known for being intelligent at all. They currently have a culture of perseverance and hard work, but they still aren't that creative.
They also have a history of decadence and decline.
They have a very short list of inventions, and stuff they did invent such as gun powder they didn't really exploit.
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-They will progresively destroy the one-child policy,which will overthrow the fears of their elderly population in the future:
That doesn't guarantee anything by itself.
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-The country is emerging in technology an innovation,so they will remain competitive in the global market:
The chinese/han haven't invented anything of global significance since the wheelbarrow. They are near exhausting cheap labour, and manufacturing is start to leave China.
Their economy is plagued with malinvestment and their ruling class hasn't figured out out to placate their population by means other than increased wages, which is under threat with marginal economic growth slowing.
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-China becomes the world's top source of overseas students.That will send millions of students around the world,and as you can see,they will implement their knowledge later on back to their country or found their own business at the country they decide to settle down:
Which benefits the country they settle in, not China.
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-World leader in building supertalls and skyscrapers,as you can see in this list of current projects across the world,most of them are located in the hundreds of Chinese emerging cities:
Tall buildings aren't a factor in world dominance.
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I have concluded this points based on my own research and asking to chinese people about what they think of the future of their nation.They are convincing that they will go on the right direction.
Most ascending nations are.
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For those of chinese descendance or with a deph knowledge of the nation would be glad to share your thoughts and real facts about it.
China is gong through it's industrial revolution, nothing more. And I mean it's whole socio-economic structure modifies to match this.
The west did this in the early to mid 19th century, Japan did it in the late 19th century, Russia/Soviet Union did this in the mid 20th century, and Korea after WWII.
South America doesn't qualify as it still has too many locked out of being viable industrial nation contributors, though Brazil and Argentina could change very quickly.
So back to China, it now knows what it wants. Looks at vibrant parts of the US, Europe, Australia, Japan, etc,
China now wants this, of course it will lead to increased prosperity and confidence. It's still not leading, and embedding inefficiency by copying the west and obtaining hegemony by undercutting the price.
This most of all displays China isn't confident enough to lead from the front and isn't in a mindset to learn how to be.
The biggest impact on the planet and most of our lives, is that you'd have to say approx 900 million people live industrial/post industrial lives, and demand the corresponding resources.
This number will more than double with China, and nearly quadruple as India looks its doing the same too.
4 times more global oil demand, 4 times more demand for all forms of energy, 4 times water.
As most forms of energy today are currently in the guise of carbon intense, non-renewables, you'd have to cautious what competing demands may lead to.
China still has a culture of the late 19th century when everyone beat it down into humiliating submission and will probably be more chauvinistic when protecting its interests (and desires) this time around.
That said, they are still widely disliked by their neighbours and I'd guess they'll have a hard time winning any major conflict.