018/2019 Bear Market
12-28-2018, 10:11 PM
Quote: (12-27-2018 11:11 PM)The Father Wrote:
Quote: (12-27-2018 09:25 PM)Kid Twist Wrote:
They don't crash when you aren't in recession. We aren't. All economic indicators are super solid, actually. I'm not just saying this because I'm a bull. I wasn't until I realized that the doomporn has been, and will be, consistently wrong.
Nearly all the major US economic indicators are relatively bullish, thanks for pointing that out. Most people don't actually look at the numbers, in fact, most don't even know what metrics to follow.
Quote: (12-27-2018 09:25 PM)Kid Twist Wrote:
Yes, we are moving towards a tremendous crash in the next 12 years, but the bubble before that is gonna be one helluva a run.
Ummm....i disagree on this part...next 12 years? Are you sure? Why 12? Why not 11 or 13?
Correct answer: Eventually we are likely to have another major correction, but no one knows when or how deep it will be. It's depth will likely bear some correlation to the extent of the runup that precedes it.
Haha, I make a bold speculation and your response is 11 or 13? LOL. Of course I don't know, so "disagreeing" is odd. There are reasons I chose 12 but it's fairly immaterial to the main point, which is not a particular number. And yes, the depth will be as you say, correlated to the runup that precedes it, which again, I say will be big. I also say there's a small chance for a big loss then one last huge runup then the biggest loss since 1929 --- 2 cycles. But my main prediction has been for a few years now, mid decade 2025 +- a year.