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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Todays Markets Close - Traders earn on Volatility...

DOW 24,388.61 -559.06 (-2.24%) NASDAQ 6,969.25 -219.00 (-3.05%) S&P500 2,633.06 -62.89 (-2.33%) US Markets Closed


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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Interesting article:

Why Does the US Yield Curve Inversion Matter?

https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamenta...atter.html
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Met with the Green Panda Markets Wizard tonight (watching Mon Night Football and the Vikings get whipped by Seattle) while enjoying some great cigars (The Ashton - San Cristobal Rep was in with a Buy 5 get one Free Deal) any way he mentioned he picked up around 340 SPXW 2600 Options when we topped up above 2800 last week at 2813(Chart Follows). He also mentioned he saw 4X to 8X on his various buys for a nice Christmas side Bonus for his own account of $600K+ - I only had 1.2X results with my SPY $220 and $200 Puts... Last week was his second best week in his 5 years at his current Global Institution. Pissed they won't pay his 2018 Q4 bonus till next June - Too afraid these huge bonuses just encourage folks to retire early or set up their own trading rooms!

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...st-7-Days/

On his little LG Smart Phone he looked at the past 7 Days action updated with today and mentioned last week topped 2800 was a major shorts psychological level and proceeded to trend downward then consolidate at 2700 then 2600 retesting 2700 then dropping below 2600 to 2583 today. Looked at the 30Minute and 240 Minute ESZ2018 S&P Futures and SPX S&P Cash charts and determined that the 30 Min 200 Moving Average - a very strong resistance level - decreasing rapidly to 2669 tonight will be around 2660 at Weds around noon as the target high for this week and then there will be a series of Impulsing waves down to 2540 for approx 210 points on the ESZ and 21 points of SPY PUTs Capture.

I sold all my SPY 200 and 220 Jan and Feb Puts today 2585/90 (now 90% in Cash) for a nice profit (1.2X as mentioned) bought about four tracking SPY 280 Calls around 2590 to focus on some beer money for run back up to 2660 - then this week's planned trade is to buy a couple hundred Feb/March SPY 250 Puts to capture the Impulse Run back down to 2540/2400. Then continue to trade ABC waves down and 1-5 Up Trend waves till we touch 2400, 2300, 2200 and possibly 2000 to complete SuperCycle wave 4 Down and turn up with SuperCycle Wave 5 to a target of 3400 Late Next year 2019 and into 2020 just in Time for Trumps likely to be viciously hard fought 2020 reelection. At least the SuperCycle Wave 4 dip will be done and we will be climbing back up to the top of Supercycle Wave 5 as mentioned.

Dueling ABC Intermediate Sub Waves Down Chart targets as shared previously:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ESZ201...g-C-waves/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Dateline Tues 11 Dec 2018 1PM EDT in Live Free or Die Country:
Fast Moving Markets - ESZ Opened at 7:30 AM Chicago at 2678 Before I could Buy new Puts - - I got in on the 30Min 200MA approx 2660 then watched as it moved below 200, 9, 20 Oscillated the 50 and broke below the 30Min POC of 2637 - Will be interesting if it runs the Market Profile indicated VPVR bars to the bottom Value Range 2616 before returning to the 50 pt ATR (Average True Range of the Day Simple 20 Day Moving Average Calculation) 2628+/-.

Green on all my PUTS this AM Except for 5 Feb $200 Puts I bought back in Nov that I held as fliers for the run down to 2500, 2400, 2300, 2200, 2000 maybe as SuperCycle Wave 4 Down Completes - Of course Feb time decay will likely expire before 2400 time frame.

LOL Closed my 4 Beer and Cigar Calls from Yesterday's lows for $118 bucks so off to lunch and a beer :-)

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

BTC By the Numbers Updated

Interesting detailed 2019 BTC Predictions Video by The Modern Investor...
https://youtu.be/5P552hqA4H8
..."BTC Has an incredibly bright future due to Grayscale"

My Updated recent term Chart 5 Wave and longer ABC with moving averages and VPVR Market Profile TPOs and current POC...
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD...e-Targets/

Time to Buy is when blood is running in the streets - but after the mobs are done rioting... Point is the riots are still running...

Best Trading Strategy - Standing Capitulation Swing Low Buy Orders say a couple at $1K, a few at $500, ten BTC at $100 and 100 BTC at $10 and 1,000 at $1.

Or Ripple, Stellar at a dime or a nickel and Cardano at 2 cents or LiteCoin and Monero at $5 or $10 respectively...

Quite likely you will ladder in and be alerted when the full capitulations hit - then the Smart Money who knows TA even better than myself will be stepping in Ballz Deep late winter/spring 2019 at the projected mathematical market lows.

One thing is sure there will be another Crypto Bull Run and some swing low Capitulation Buys at very low price points will win - the problem is Waves 5 and C are indeterminant and can run from .618 to 1.618 or more as shown in the chart.

So put some low ball lipstick on these Pigs then dance when your buy offers come true...

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Reply

Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

One of the Green Panda's core practices and policies is strict Trading Discipline - never more than 20% of investible Assets and always maintain catastrophic Stop Losses and keep a catastrophic reserve pool in case a black swan event occurs like the 2008/09 MBS meltdown.

When I follow that discipline I am mostly in the Green - When I gamble and go all in I usually take losses and crash and burn badly - Go figure.

Furthermore, there is the Silver, Gold and Platinum trading strategy - when you are in a profitable position always take some profits off the table as eventually, all profits erode.

Silver - take half your profitable position at 50% of your trading targets, then Gold - take 70% to 80% of your original positions at the 70% mark of your target and then let the remaining 20% to 30% run as fliers... especially in an impulsing Major Third Wave Down and Impulsing C Wave down that we are currently in - This way you locked in your profits and are able to limit risk to the Markets Money as you already have your full original capital and 50% to 70% of your planned Trade Profits captured until the next Intraday Plan or longer Term Edge Planned Trade either up Calls or down Puts.

Silver 50% Capture this Morning - I saw that the overnight on the 1 and 5 Minute ES1! the ticker for the Tradingview S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES (Continuous Contract In Front CME_MINI) - this ticker shows the main Moving Averages (200, 50, 20, 9) on the S&P E-MINI Futures Contracts continuously back to 1998.

The astounding thing about options and futures trading is when you follow planned trades and the Green Panda Trading discipline (Silver, Gold Platinum and catastrophic event loss stops and cash reserves) how you can actually book real 30% to 40% profits in only 4 Trading Days like so:
image.png

Remaining longer expiration Fliers from 200 to 240 strike prices all up 20 to 40 % avg 30% in only One yes only 1 day:

image.png

Note A=C Target from recent 2818 Swing High is 2446 and the 4 Moving Averages 200, 50, 20 and 9 are in full Fan Down on the ES1! Daily Chart with the 9 Strongly below the 20 DMAs or daily moving averages meaning we are still in the target Trade to at least 2446 and likely further extension in this strong impulsing down action perhaps as far down as C*1.618 of A = B 2688-392 or 1.618 Down Target of 2296 thus the 2400 and 2200 or Spy 240 and 220 as well 200 Options in March and June fliers:
image.png

And on the bigger Picture SPX "Cash" Weekly chart the 200 Weekly Moving Average SuperCycle Wave 4 Down (Green) is about to intersect the Purple MajorSubWave 3 Down at approx 2350 before retracing 2400+/- on Major Subwave 4 before completing our run down to SPX S4 target of 2235 at an ATR Weekly pace of 90 Points:
image.png

2347/2350 is our Technical 200 Week SPX Moving Average inflection point for Major Subwave 3 to Complete and retest 2600+/- for Major Subwave 4:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/fF...ets-Green/
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

I wish more people understand the value this thread has been providing.

The last two days were great with all the puts bought during the bounces, especially when bought December 21 puts once it proved that US500 was in a minor 3 of a larger wave. This might seem like a high risk strategy but it was so clear to me that minor 3 was in progress once US 500 broke the lowest low in 1 minute charts. I had to take the risk with a tight stop loss, which paid off. All the Dec, Jan, Feb puts are sold at various stages (mostly below 2460) as the decline progressed.

The current highest probability count (to me) is that this should test at least 2390-2440 once again after the bounce which MIGHT go as high as 2550ish (one alternate count is that this might go as high as 2650 ish but a very low probability event. To counter this effect, one can buy late Feb or later puts). After the final decline of reaching or breaking 2440, it will be time for the bulls and the calls (for months to continue) but we can talk about this when the time comes.

I will be replacing my puts after watching today's price action.

AGI seems to me as a great candidate to buy calls (do your own research, of course). It might go further down a bit but I plan to buy the calls in installments.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

To Cut through all the Gloom and Doom Sky is Falling and World is Over Peter Schiff Crash Mania a few inconvenient and informative Positive facts:

My lead Stealth Trading Advisor for my DLT Trading Project (Extremely Wealthy and Successful Active Director of Global Trading for a worldwide institution). Trades Broad Indicies and Commodities WorldWide:

S&P Chart we created 6 months or so ago (Updated Today) about the S&P 40 Year SuperCycle - The Market is doing What it is Supposed to Do - Notice Green SuperCycle wave 5 Transition up and Targets - just in time for Trump's Reelection!

Note how the Powerful 200 Weekly Moving Average is about to run right through the Major SubWave 3 target (Purple) A Strong Confirmation that MW3 will Bounce and Retest MW4 then Running down to Complete Major SubWave 5 and SuperCycle Wave 4...
Most recent 3 Weeks Classic Example of an impulsive 3rd Wave Down - best three weeks of the year with 50 to 100 point swings per day all predictable Intraday and Major Wave Turns - Puts/Shorts in the S&P SPY, SPXW Options and ESH2019 (ES1! continual chart) are accelerating and throwing off tremendous Short Term Profits - I have cashed in average 30% to 80% gains in the past 5 days. See SPXW Matrix following the 40 Year S&P SuperCycle and Major Wave Sub-Cycles Chart:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/Ro...5-Targets/

Hint Next SuperCycle Wave 1= .618 of 5 Target is 2950/3000 a triple top and likely to be shorted as low as 1500 before it runs up to Wave 1 = 1.618 of 5 at 3400/3500 - So Volatility over the next several years = maximum trading profitability - Current Daily ATR is 50 points a day and 90 points a Week Average True [Trading] Range.

How do you think Pension Funds are able to survive with 8% PayOut demands in a ZIRP/NIRP Environment - Institutional Returns - See % Gains since Dec 10th:

SPXW PUTs
Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
SPXW Mar 29 19 $3000 Put455.500.000.00%1218.0312/10/201831,597.00144.92%45,550.00
SPXW Mar 15 19 $2900 Put326.500.000.00%1149.7012/10/201828,630.00191.25%32,650.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2800 Put316.380.000.00%1219.5012/10/201812,460.0056.77%31,638.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2700 Put233.85-10.80 -4.41%1148.1012/10/201810,950.0073.94%23,385.00
SPXW Mar 15 19 $2600 Put168.10-6.90 -3.94%1112.8012/10/20186,770.0060.02%16,810.00
SPXW Mar 15 19 $2500 Put129.26-6.39 -4.71%144.8012/10/20187,950.00177.46%12,926.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2400 Put94.153.553.92%156.0012/10/20183,460.0061.79%9,415.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2300 Put59.803.105.47%139.4112/10/20182,039.0051.74%5,980.00
SPXW Mar 15 19 $2200 Put34.433.2310.35%119.1012/10/20181,533.0080.26%3,443.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2100 Put28.382.389.15%117.6012/10/2018950.0053.98%2,838.00
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2000 Put18.000.000.00%18.3712/10/2018953.00113.86%1,800.00

SPY PUTs
SymbolLastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty  PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
SPY Mar 29 19 $270 Put27.901.555.88%16.5408/26/20182,136.00326.61%2,790.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $265 Put23.941.406.21%113.8012/10/20181,014.0073.48%2,394.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $260 Put20.041.8610.23%19.5512/11/20181,052.00110.16%2,004.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $250 Put14.410.674.88%16.5012/11/2018787.00121.08%1,441.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $240 Put9.801.1413.16%14.3812/11/2018542.00123.74%980.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $230 Put6.620.182.80%13.3312/14/2018331.0099.40%662.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $220 Put4.410.143.28%12.2012/14/2018225.00102.27%441.00
SPY Jun 28 19 $200 Put3.920.4312.32%11.7208/26/2018220.00127.91%392.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $210 Put2.930.3614.01%11.5712/17/2018138.0087.90%293.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $200 Put2.000.3521.21%10.9412/14/2018106.00112.77%200.00

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This is a newsletter I subscribe to behind an expensive premium PayWall:

2019 Will be the Year of the Stock Snapback. Here are Three HUGE Reasons to Stay in the Game

‘Tis the season to be jolly.

But man, if you’re a trader… it’s been tough.

We’ve seen much more pain than gain lately.

After notching a new high, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped 11% in the last two months.

The S&P 500 has dropped 12% — it’s second 10%-plus drop of the year.

And the Nasdaq 100 is down an eye-popping 16% from it’s all-time high.

Yikes!

The struggle is real.

But 2018 hasn’t been totally terrible.

Each of the market’s corrections followed rip-roaring rallies.

And here at Dollar Trade Club, we took advantage of the drops to buy stocks on the cheap… and sell into strength.

We booked a 286% gain on Crocs, Inc. (CROX), a 155% winner on Blackstone Group LP (BX), and a 115% profit on our Under Armour, Inc. (UA) position.

I’m not crazy enough to pick a bottom, but I see much more upside than downside for stocks in 2019.

Now… before you tar and feather me as a permabull that’s devoid of logic…

Here are three HUGE reasons to stay in the game next year…

Rally Reason #1 – Stocks are CHEAP
If I had a dime for every time someone has said stocks are overvalued this year, I’d be loaded!

But earnings growth over the last two years has more than justified higher stock multiples.

Analysts have cut earnings forecasts in 2019 over trade concerns and waning tax stimulus. But the S&P still trades at just 14.7 times forward earnings after last week’s rout.

Talk about cheap…

That’s below the index’s five-year average, and right around its 10-year average.

Better still, some big brand-name stocks are trading at incredible discounts…

Netflix Inc. (NFLX), one of the market’s most consistent growth stocks, is trading at 95.6 times trailing earnings. Of course, that’s well above the S&P… but the stock has delivered double-digit earnings growth in each of the last ten years.

This stock commands a premium valuation.

But…

After the market’s recent rout, the stock trades at its lowest PE multiple since 2015. And the ratio is down 77% from its peak in 2016 at 416.

Twitter Inc. (TWTR) — a company that just became profitable in 2018 — trades at 26.6 trailing twelve-month earnings. And its PE has fallen 75% from its high on the year (46.8).

The tech company Wall Street loves to hate, Apple Inc. (APPL), is trading at its lowest PE valuation (13.9) since early 2017. That’s even after analysts slashed earnings estimates on fears of slowing iPhone sales.

I know it’s hard to even think about buying stocks after the sea of red in November, but volatility equals opportunity.

The sharp selloffs are giving you the chance to buy stocks at multi-year discounts — putting risk to reward squarely in YOUR favor.

But don’t expect the sale on stocks to last long.

Analysts are forecasting S&P 500 earnings growth of anywhere from 10% to 20%.

To be sure, it’s a slowdown from 2018.

But double-digit earnings growth almost ten years into an economic expansion is still pretty damn good.

So take advantage of the sale in stocks while you can.

Reason #2 – The US Economy Is STRONG
You know…

Some of my analyst colleagues on TV are losing their minds talking up a truly crazy idea…

That is, we’re headed for a recession in 2019.

Give me a break!

Yes, growth is likely to slow moving forward. But it’s not going to fall off a cliff.

This year, we could easily see 4% real gross domestic product (GDP) annual growth. Sure, a big old tax cut helped.

But next year, Federal Reserve economists are forecasting 2.5% GDP growth next year. That’s a lower clip than 2018, but it’s still well above the ten-year average (1.6%).

Unemployment is sitting at less than 4% — and it could even go lower in 2019.

And inflation has NOT exploded like many market bears said it would.

So expect the Fed to significantly slow down the pace of its interest rate hikes.

According to CME’s FedWatch, fed fund futures are pricing just a single interest rate rise in 2019.

Put simply, expect the slowdown in rate hikes to fuel a rally in stocks.

Reason #3 – There are (Still) No Better Alternatives
As I write, the S&P 500 is down 2.7% on the year.

But factoring in already-reduced earnings expectations, Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to rise 17% in 2019, according to FactSet.

And I think the broad market barometer can soar even higher than that. (More on that later this week.)

When you look at the alternatives, you’ll quickly see why stocks are still the place to be…

The US ten-year treasury — the market’s most popular risk-free instrument — is currently yielding a mere 2.9%. On a total return basis, the note’s investors have enjoyed a negative 1.6% for their troubles.

You can hide your money in treasuries, but you won’t be retiring early on those returns.

What about cash, you might ask?

Pitiful!

The three-month LIBOR (a measure of short-term bank interest rates) has risen 77% over the last year, it’s still just a pathetic 2.8%.

Cash has outperformed during the market’s recent fall, and may continue to do so for a bit.

But with another year of big growth expected in corporate America next year… that outperformance is not bound to last.

In addition, the flight of capital back into stocks in 2019 could be a life-changing event for the brave investors that buy the dip here.

Here’s the bottom line…

If you’re looking for maximum return on your hard-earned capital, stocks are where you want to be in 2019.

And right now, you’re staring at one of the best buying opportunities you’ll get over the next twelve months.

Seize your moment.

Merry Christmas and Ring in the KaChing for a Happy and Prosperous New Year!

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

FYI Example SPY Calls at 3:21PM EDT 21/Dec/2018
SymbolLastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty  PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value $

SPY Mar 29 19 $260 Call4.30-0.83 -16.18%15.7012/20/2018-188.00-32.98%430.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $270 Call1.57-1.03 -39.62%12.7212/20/2018-115.00-42.28%157.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $290 Call0.030.0150.00%13.3505/08/2018-332.00-99.10%3.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $300 Call0.01-0.01 -50.00%11.3505/08/2018-134.00-99.26%1.00

I will be buying some 260 and 270 Calls soon for the Run back up to MW4 at 2600
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Note Flood of EOD MOCs drove SPY PUTs further into the Green Zone:

Took 100% Profit in 3 Days ... No Brag Just Proof it can be Done:

Bought March 29, 2019 $240 Puts on 12/19/2019 at $5.80 each and Closed to Sell Today at $10.71 each.

It can and is done often in the Institutional Trading Rooms - only problem is the State and Feds get a third in Taxes!

Have to Open a SEP to trade on a tax deferred basis in 2019.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

AIG, not AGI, is the great candidate for the calls from the price of $33 (possibly within a month). My target price to sell would be $46ish, and this is a conservative target price. Analysis has a high probability but there are almost some probability it might not happen.

If you are paying too much tax, I read an article about rich Americans moving to Puerto Rico to escape from Uncle Sam's big hand grabbing the hard earned dollars. Some of you might find it worthwhile to read more on this. I think our forum might even have a thread about it.


Quote: (12-21-2018 05:04 AM)Denzel Wrote:  

AGI seems to me as a great candidate to buy calls (do your own research, of course). It might go further down a bit but I plan to buy the calls in installments.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Sold My SPY June 28, 2019, 200 Puts at just under 100% profit then calculated all probable C Leg extensions and determined with a 58 Daily ATR could touch the SPX Cash 200 Week Moving Average (2348 near today's low of 2351 within the average daily range of 4.5 points) which is where we are now so beginning to ladder in Calls for the retest of 2600 to 2650 during next Major Wave 4 back up.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/B...200-WK-MA/

Symbol Actions LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty  Paid$
SPYJun 28 19 $260 Call5.70-1.68-22.67%25.70
SPYJun 28 19 $280 Call1.87-0.24-12.50%101.87
SPYMar 29 19 $270 Call1.19-0.24-16.61%101.23
SPYJun 28 19 $300 Call0.48-0.05-10.20%100.48

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

The Trump Money Bomb SPY Profits Party (EOY Dec/Jan/Feb Puts) will continue strong into 2019 (March June Calls).

SPX Cash closes only 3 pts above 200 Week Moving Average
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/35...g-Average/

SPX Cash closes at 2351 only 3 pts above 200 Week Moving Average 2348 on the SPX Weekly Chart and above the 50 Month Moving Average 2326 on the SPX Monthly Chart both are strongly respected moving averages and I expect the SPX "cash" Index to retest Major SubWave 4 to 2600 of the SuperCycle wave 4/Major SubWave 5 down to a range of 2200 to 2250.

Then we expect the Market to Reverse the 40 Year SuperCycle Wave 4 back up into SuperCycle Wave 5 to retest the ATH (SPX 2941) for a SCWave 1 = SCWave 5 or to 3455 for a SCWave 1 * 1.618 Golden Ratio = SCWave 5 extended target.

The Markets do what they are supposed to do - all things in the universe come out of balance and then move back to balance.

Just in time for a Trump Re-election Rally - These Markets Trade Globally now - beyond even the Feds ability to manipulate besides just accelerating Major SubWave 3 in Purple down over the past 4 deliciously volatile trading days...

I am now laddering in SPY calls for the Major Subwave 4 targets to 2600... due to the accelerating Momentum Down to the SPX 200 week Moving Average - and Pro and Institutional Traders going to Cash (at 2941 and 2800) to lock in year-end positions (Profits)

I fully expect this cash to rush back into the Markets(Calls) to catch MajorSubwave 4 back up to 2600 - which may look like a bungee cord of stretched kinetic energy down snapping back up.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Was able to pick up a couple SPY Feb 220 PUTs this AM for less than $2.00 ... and 230s at $3.40 this morning as the Green Panda called it!
DateOrderTypeOrder typeQuantitySymbolPrice typeTermPricePrice
ExecutedStatus

12/28/18654Option
Buy Open
2
SPY Feb 15 '19 $230 Put
LimitDay3.40
3.40
Executed

12/28/18652Option
Buy Open
2
SPY Feb 15 '19 $220 Put
LimitGT 601.96
1.96
Executed
Interesting Chart 30 Minute ES1!/ESH2019 the 2nd Std Deviation above shaded VPVR Market Profile "Prints" - the market walked up the orders and looks like it will now walk them down to the 2390 vicinity... The 30Min 200MA has merged with the POC on this scale chart and the Cash SPX Daily ATR is 65.06 and we are testing the 30Min 50MA from the top

Since I picked up some SPY 220 and 230 puts today I am done - no sales till Monday or Wednesday to avoid Etrades PDT Pattern Day Trader Round Trip SUSPENSION Rules... which is fine because in our Weds Evening Green Panda Quick Session review now that the Green Panda has recovered from his weekend whirlwind Xanadu Bahamas beach tour (OK I admit I am jealous just a bit) Our Math Targets for the Major Wave 4 Bounce of 2499/2500 which we did up to SPX 2408 and ESH2019 to 2519 at 6:30 AM EST - then moving down to the current Sub Wave 5 Targets (1st Levels without longer Extensions) of 2300 and 23% Correction of S&P all time high 2944 - 677= 2267 Major Institutional Support/Resistance level.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/3...n-of-2018/

Then further trading down to the Major Wave 5 and Supercycle Wave 4 targets originally in the 2200 to 2250 range:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/Ro...5-Targets/

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and are mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal the Supercycle Wave 5 retracement. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Whishing all the Nuclear Pro-Trump Train Divers and Drivers here a healthy happy and prosperous New year on the last full trading day of 2018...

My personal favorite best Two video picks as a "looking glass" into 2019:

Tone Vays - The Largest Point Gain In U.S. Market History
Hyperwave Channel by Lucid Investment Strategies
Co-hosted by D. Tyler Jenks and Leah Wald
https://youtu.be/K64_44mR6dI

Takeaways:
Tyler BTC completes Hyperwave back down to BTC 1,000 before next major Bull Run far past ATHs.
Tone Vays Dow Jones on track for 75,000 by 2034.

Clif High Predictive Linguistics AI Webbot: BTC to bottom at 1275 BTC/USD in early summer 2019 then Geopolitical Panic Buying Parabolic Bull Run "you will not be able to buy BTC at any price due to this 2018 panic".
https://youtu.be/13SzAcsVQUg

And one bonus Peter Schiff Doom and Gloom just in case...
https://youtu.be/3nR2lQUT-ok

So likely to be an interesting 2019...
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Life and the Universe move in cycles:

Big Picture SPX (Cash) S&P 500:

Completed the 40 Year Supercycle Wave 3 top now making a Supercycle Wave 4 Bottom in 5 Major Sub Waves Down then upon completion of SuperCycle Wave 4 bottoms and turns into SuperCycle Wave 5 to retest the All-Time-High Emini Futures 2947 SPX Cash ATH 2940.91 and equal% probability of a 1.618 X SC1 to SuperCycle Wave 5 Upper Target of 3455 in 2021/22 timeframe.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/35...g-Average/

Supercycle Wave 4 will bottom in early 2019 then begin SuperCyle Wave 5 Run up in time for POTUS Trump re-election Campaign so Trump is either lucky or has a Market TA that understands this and will take credit for the continuing booming economy even though the Progressive CPUSA demoncommies are doing everything to derail it after the midterms with an early 2019 SCWave 4 bottoming around the swearing-in of Pelosi and her Progressive Caucus CPUSA DSA Chinese Red Communist sympathizing "No Border - No Walls - NO USA at All!" chanting problem children.

In the meantime, the markets will do what they are supposed to do and this knowledge allows multiple Profit Opportunities:

Green is the SuperCycle - Purple the Major Subwaves and Orange the Minor Subwave targets of Major Wave 4 five Subwaves in direction of Trend (Still Down) and Major 4th Sub 5th broken into a further 5 Subwaves (Orange) with targets beginning next week after New Year's day:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/5...o-5-Waves/

I have picked up a nice bunch of SPY 230 and 220 Feb 2019 Puts to capitalize on this move... laddered in and bought most of the 220s for $2.00 then laddered a fist full more down to $1.60 per SPY PUT Option so looking for a 3X to 4X on the Orange impulsing sub-sub-subwave 3 down to the 23% ATH S&P Market Correction institutional target of 2267 next week.

Happy KaChinging New Year!

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and are mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal the Supercycle Wave 5 retracement. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

I currently hold February puts but I would like to share my alternative counts.

1. We MIGHT still be in a minor 4, not the minor 5. This means that 2520 of the last session might be an A of 4, and we will go down to 2420ish for B (of 4) and then up to C. I will sell my puts around 2420 (since I believe we are in B, or about to be in B soon)

2. Or we are already in 5 and we will reach below 2300 (hence still puts are a good idea). As time will tell us more, I will replace my puts (that will be sold around 2420) once the market gives me more information that it is in 5.

3. A very low probability alternative count is the market might finish its decline after declining to 2420ish or so. This very low probability will make me sell my puts around 2420, not to take the risk. I can replace my puts if this count is invalidated (time will tell)

For the bigger picture, it seems to me that even if we reach 2250ish, bigger wave 4 might not have ended but instead it might have completed the A leg of 4. I do not believe that a major 4 will be completed in three-four months. This is too short. Plus, if we get B and C, the last C will take us to 2000ish (one year or so from now). I cannot be sure of this, only time will tell though. The good news is that I do not need to know. Because, either way, the calls bought below 2300 will be very profitable.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Whoa this is Yuuuge info - Friday at my Stealth Advisor's firm every trader's Bloomberg terminal had a 6x8 inch Red Alert NOT to sell any instruments SPXW, SPY, Eminis before 1PM EST Fri Jan 4th as the FED was buying to Support the Markets so we would not have 3 sell-off days in a row - Who says Powell does not listen to Trump! My stealth advisor suspects the Fed bought at least $1 Billion via JPMC and/or GS to "support" the market via a little known Exec Order from 2016 giving the PPT and Fed the ability to directly buy Securities and related instruments (SPXW All Market Eminis etc) and direct equities to support the market to prevent successive down trending days that automated trading triggers could massively sell off.

Interesting how the Fed drove the SPX Daily Chart from its 9DMA up to its 20DMA and stopped - so I did enough buying Friday unless the Fed decides Monday to drive it up further to the 50DMA but that is then not just supporting the markets but actually manipulating (a matter of semantics to some) so they may be done buying for now.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/plu...n-team.asp

Yesterday was a Fed PPT buying day that skewed all of our targets and calculations that in fact drove the market up 110 pts (SPX) before the institutions could begin selling at 1PM (And did they Buy but only SPYs SPXW and ESH2019 Eminis) however no large private block trades between institutions were allowed yesterday - he said they always comply because then when they are eventually fined for any too aggressive trading the SEC takes it easy on their fines (The Bigs do not seek permission ...they negotiate forgiveness). It was a slow day for his team they only captured 110 pts of ESH2019 Emini futures movement and only cleared $45M profits. Fortunate for me he likes to smoke Maduros and do "manual" EOW reviews every week ever since April as a way to reinforce and doublecheck that all of his Bloomberg and Institution program Systems are not going off the rails ...

So bottom line we spent almost 4 hours over computers, cigars and calculators recalculating about 50 mathematical permutations, correlations and probable combinations of what could happen Monday - the technical point where Fed Buying ceased Friday and the market probabilities if the Fed will buy again Monday?

Friday was supposed to be an impulsing third sub-sub-subwave down (Orange small 5 Wave Count - of the White 5th leg - of the Purple MajorWave 3 - a double impulsing wave three which still needs to complete) inside an impulsing larger third subwave down completing the S&P Supercycle Wave 4 down as shared previously (See SPX S&P "cash" Supercycle Chart Bottom of this post. The rule is Larger Waves govern Price Targets/ranges however the smaller waves Must complete their moves prior to the larger waves finishing.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/5...o-5-Waves/

Therefore instead of rapid double impulsing 3 waves down acceleration profits my Puts lost value yesterday so not having gone all in I had a cash reserve to DCA a few handfulls of Feb and Mar 2019 220, 230 and 200 SPY Puts... at very deep discounts - our original Buy target for the Feb 220 Puts was below $2.00 - I actually laddered in Feb 220 PUTs from 0.98 cents down to a few at 0.70 cents yesterday that's how much buying the Fed did and gave me some rare Fed induced PUTs bargains.

Also, the SPXW looks like an opportunity lots of action around the 200SPY/2000SPXW as institutional portfolio insurance and both a thousands and century TA target. If the 2000s dropped 45% in one Fed Buying Day I can imagine how much the PUTs will go up in value when we hit our Purple White and Orange wave targets above.

SymbolLastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty  Price WhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
SPXW Mar 29 19 $2000 Put 6.34-5.36 -45.81%18.3712/10/2018-203.00-24.25%634.00

Let's see what happens Monday - If no Fed Buying the market will revert to finishing the 40 Year SuperCycle Wave 4 Down as previously Calculated and I will be capturing a lot of Puts Profits.

Then it is Supercycle Wave 5 (SCW5) Up to .618 of SC Wave 1 to the S&P ATH of 2944 or 100% SCWave 1 = SCWave 5 in the 3455 to 3500 range.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/35...g-Average/
Note: If you click the blue right arrow in the white dot on the right the Chart will update with the most recent closes data.

May we live in interesting times in 2019...

Cheers,

Deepdiver

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and are mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal and then the Supercycle Wave 5 retracement. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

One of the most interesting videos I have seen for 2019 including Markets, Bitcoin, Gold/Silver and possible solutions to the global debt bubbles, USD - all with historical perspectives, etc.

https://youtu.be/qAH2GuXQBFk
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

The highest-probability count is that US500 will decline for 200 points or so. The first signs of the decline should come soon (this week?). As always, this is a probabilistic assessment.

Be fearful when others are greedy.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Important Trading Update:

Since this rarely happens the institutional trading desks were concerned it was "the end of the world" as the PPT or Plunge Protection Team intervened (Fed working with GS and JPM) buying up the markets (Green Candles UP inside the light green oval) - usually DJI, SPX and NDX futures and or major index funds... Above the gold 50 DMA and certain to Test the red 200DMA before retrace to .38 and .618 short term target depicted by the light blue hash lines.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/0...ily-Chart/

The arching 3Jan Red Bar was our previous trading action until 4Jan Accelerated PPT Buying drove the markets up in an impulsing chain of Green Bars up to 17 Jan which broke above the 50DMA (inside Yellow Elipsis Oval) and impulsing 18Jan bar up to test the 200DMA next in the 2705 to 2750 technical to Emotional futures trading range. Top of his range reverse into wave 5 with .38 and .618 targets in light blue dashed lines with the full Yellow Bold ABC A=C from both Current Level and possible 2750 Futures Swing High... 2705 to 2750 trading range to occur this week after the MLK day banks holiday.

Green 40 Year SuperCycle Target near White Major Wave 1 run up as previous major support with White Wave 2 Swing Low as the potential full Yellow Corrective C wave down longest Bold Yellow A=C target...

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/SQ...e-Targets/

SC Wv4 Green and Major Waves 5 (Longer Purple and Shorter Orange 5 Waves) moved right for readability to the 2200 to 2150 dashed Orange and Blue lines retracement range.

I plan to Trade SPY PUTS Buy at 270 to 275 for a June strike price target of 250 taking .38 and .618 retracement profits and let the remaining fliers run for longer time expiration for 2000 to 2200 as Market does what it is supposed to do in spite of PPT interventions and completes SuperCyle Wave 4 down and Major Waves 5 completion targets before SuperCycle Run back up to 3000 to 3500 as previously charted.

Plenty of intraday and smaller chart trading wave 2 to 3 impulses down and up to profit from in the process.

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and are mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal and then the Supercycle Wave 5 retracement. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

SHORT - SPX B Wave 2739 Swing High Tests 200 DMA (2742)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/qH...-DMA-2742/
SPX Yellow B Wave 2739 Swing High Tests 200 DMA (2742)

A-B-C In direction of SuperCycle Green Wave 4.

B = .618 retrace of A and now top turning to impulsing C Wave target A=C as indicated.

At which point we will begin to turn into Super-Cycle Wave 5.

Also GE had a surprise rise Calls up 150%+ but since SPX wave B above is top turning into impulsing C down I am waiting for a top turning retrace of at least .618% on GE or equal to my original 0.15 call option buy points...

GENERAL ELECTRIC CO COM JAN-20 $15.00 CALL
(GE Jan 17 '20 $15 Call)
Last PriceToday's ChangeBid (Size)Ask (Size)Day's RangeVolumeTrade
0.37-0.04 (-9.76%)0.37 x4410.40 x3210.37 - 0.462,027
Real Time Last Trade as of February 06, 2019 1:42:18 PM EST
Open 0.42
Previous Close 0.41
Open Interest 217743
Intrinsic Value N/A
Time Premium 0.39
Option Type Equity
Last Day of Trading 1/17/2020
Expiration Date 1/17/2020
Exercise Style American
Options Multiplier 100
Deliverable for this contract
100 Shares of (GE)
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Highlights of a Paywall Newsletter I Subscribe to:

The Deep State Is Triggering the “Greater Depression” to Sink Trump… Here’s How We’ll Protect Ourselves and Profit

Subprime Meltdown and 2008 Financial Crisis
The end of the tech bubble caused an economic downturn. Alan Greenspan’s Fed responded by dramatically lowering interest rates. This new, easy money ended up flowing into the housing market.

Then in 2004, the Fed embarked on another rate-hiking cycle. The higher interest rates made it impossible for many Americans to service their mortgage debts. Mortgage debts were widely securitized and sold to large financial institutions.

When the underlying mortgages started to go south, so did these mortgage-backed securities, and so did the financial institutions that held them.

It created a cascading crisis that nearly collapsed the global financial system. The S&P 500 fell by over 56%.

2018: The Deep State’s Revenge on Trump?
I don’t think this time will be different. That doesn’t mean we can’t protect ourselves… and even profit when that happens.

Before I show you how, you should understand why I think a crisis is imminent…

The “Everything Bubble”
As you probably know, the Fed responded to the 2008 financial crisis with unprecedented amounts of easy money.

Think of the trillions of dollars in money printing programs – euphemistically called quantitative easing (QE) 1, 2, and 3.

At the same time, the Fed effectively took interest rates to zero, the lowest they’ve been in the entire history of the US.

The too-big-to-fail banks are even bigger than they were in 2008. They have more derivatives, and they’re much more dangerous.

Allegedly, the Fed has been taking these actions to save the economy.

In reality, it’s simply created enormous and unprecedented economic distortions and misallocations of capital… and it’s all going to be flushed out.

In other words, the Fed’s response to the last crisis sowed the seeds for an even bigger crisis.

All the trillions of dollars created by the Fed ended up creating not just a housing bubble, or a tech bubble, but an “everything bubble.”

The Fed took interest rates to zero in 2008 in response to the financial crisis. It held them there until December 2015, or nearly seven years.

The Fed inflated the housing bubble (which eventually caused the 2008 crisis) with about two years of 1% interest rates. So it’s hard to fathom how much it distorted the economy with seven years of 0% interest rates.

As the Fed gets into another rate-hiking cycle, all the malinvestment created by the trillions in easy money will get flushed, just like in previous cycles.

Except for this time, the Fed has warped the economy far more drastically than it did in the 1920s, during the tech or housing bubble, or during any other period in history. I expect the resulting stock market crash to be that much bigger.

The US economy and stock market are overdue for a recession and correction by any historical standard, regardless of what the Fed does.

But when you add in the Fed’s current rate-hiking cycle – the same catalyst for previous bubble pops – the likelihood of a stock market crash of historic proportions before the end of Trump’s first term is very high.

Remember the chart above: 84% of Fed rate-hike cycles caused a crisis. In many of these cases, it took between one and three years for the effects of rising rates to cause a crisis somewhere.

For example, the Fed started hiking rates in 1994. This produced the 1997-1998 Asian Financial Crisis, Russian debt default, and LTCM collapse.

The Fed started hiking rates again in mid-1999, which popped the tech bubble about a year later.

The Fed started hiking rates again in 2004, which produced the 2008 financial crisis.

Like I mentioned earlier, the current Fed rate-hike cycle started in 2015. That means it’s already nearly three years old. By the end of 2018 the Fed will have made 9 rate hikes in this tightening cycle, and it has no intention of slowing down.

History suggests we are late in the game here. There’s no doubt this rate-hike cycle will prick the massive “everything bubble” … very likely before the next presidential election.

This is obviously bad news for President Trump, and he knows it. And it will blindside investors who aren’t prepared.

That’s why we’re preparing now.

This month, I’ll show you how to profit – and provide a hedge to our portfolio when stocks fall – by shorting the market.

That means we’re betting the market will fall… And we can profit by positioning ourselves in today’s recommendation before that happens.

If you’re put off by the idea of shorting, don’t worry. As you’ll see, I’ve found an easy, one-click way for you to do this that carries a lot less risk than traditional shorting strategies.

I’ll cover more ways to protect yourself and profit from the end of the “everything bubble” in the months ahead.

New Investment Recommendation
ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS)
Key Stats SDS

Recent Price

$35.83

52 Week High

$45.27

Net Asset Value (NAV)

$37.84

52 Week Low

$32.53

Expense Ratio

0.90%

Discount/Premium to NAV

0.08%

Through its aggressive rate-hike cycle, the Fed is pulling the plug on the stock market.

The Deep State will get its revenge on Trump. The Federal Reserve is its weapon of choice.

Trump seems aware of the situation. He recently said, “The Fed has gone crazy.” And “To me the Fed is the biggest risk, because I think interest rates are being raised too quickly,” and “I’m very unhappy with the Fed because Obama had zero interest rates.”

Trump may have a point. Looking at the chart below, Obama had 0% interest rates for nearly his entire term. With Trump in office, interest rates have steadily been going up.


In other words, Obama benefited from the Fed juicing up the economy with unprecedented amounts of easy money. Now, Trump is going to be left holding the bag as interest rates rise and inevitably flush out loads of malinvestment.

I think a stock market collapse at least as severe as 1929 or 2008 is highly likely before the next presidential election.

The ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) is how we’ll protect ourselves and profit.

SDS is a 2x short exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks the daily investment results that correspond to twice the inverse daily performance of the S&P 500.

In other words, should the S&P 500 fall 10%, SDS should gain 20%.

Keep in mind, the opposite is true as well – if the S&P 500 rises 10%, SDS will fall 20%. This is the fund’s biggest risk. But I’m confident that the market is close enough to its peak that this risk is mitigated.

I like the ETF approach here because it’s a simple way to short the market. You don’t need to know how to use complex strategies like trading options.

Price
The ETF has been in an uptrend since September, which tells us that investors are growing increasingly pessimistic about the market’s sustained performance.

As you can see in the next chart, though, SDS is down over 19% on a year-over-year basis.


This means we still have an attractive entry point for riding this long-term trend.
The bottom line is that stocks have not corrected anywhere near enough to be called cheap. There’s still a lot more upside in this trade.

The Trade
BUY the ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) at current prices. Use a 50% trailing stop loss.

You should plan on holding shares until the next presidential election in 2020, about two years from now.
###

I am looking at some leverage to buy call options the follow this ETF Up (2X Inverse o the S&P) versus PUTs againts the underlying moves...

NOTE: These discussions and any associated thread posts are not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and are mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major 40 Year S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Top Turning Reversal and then the Supercycle Wave 5 retracement. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

Quote: (02-10-2019 11:04 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  

Highlights of a Paywall Newsletter I Subscribe to:

The Deep State Is Triggering the “Greater Depression” to Sink Trump… Here’s How We’ll Protect Ourselves and Profit

....

We've been discussing the asset bubble extensively in the 2018/2019 Bear market thread.
thread-71714...pid1938258

If only it was as simple as shorting the market. Who knows what tricks the Fed and other Central Banks will pull to keep up the asset bubble, and who knows when the bubble is truly popping vs. just letting some air out? And will we know exactly when the next round of QE will start and the bubble will re inflate? Given that the Fed has changed its tune extensively in just a couple months, the end of QT and even lower interest rates may soon be on the horizon, with QE shortly following.
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Ultimate Trump money bomb profits thread

The Fed does not intervene in the markets to prop up the equities in the US. Stop with that nonsense.

Secondly, the market sets all interest rates other than overnight bank borrowing from the Fed based on inflation expectations, which is why the 10-yr has dropped 60 bps.
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