Next GOP debate: Saturday, February 6 at 8 p.m. EST (the end of Rand Paul...)
02-01-2016, 11:09 PM
Looking ahead to New Hampshire where a debate will occur 3 days before the first real primary in the year.
Here's what you need to know:
-It's the first GOP debate hosted by ABC News (previously hosted a Democratic debate in December)
-The moderators will be David Muir, Martha Raddatz and "WMUR political director Josh McElveen ".
https://twitter.com/DavidMuir
https://twitter.com/MarthaRaddatz
https://twitter.com/JoshMcElveen
-The criteria to get on the main stage is typical of recent debates. You need to be: Top 3 in Iowa, Top 6 in New Hampshire polling or Top 6 in national polling.
This sets the stage for a 7 person debate of Cruz, Rubio, Trump, Bush and Christie (top 6 nationally & NH), Kasich (top 6 in NH only) and Carson (top 6 nationally only. Carson's little moment in the sun months ago is still boosting his national average, I guess).
(sources: Debate criteria, RCP National Polling, RCP New Hampshire polling)
-The bad news: no undercard debate (source). This effectively cuts the rest out of the public eye at a critical time, essentially spelling the end for Fiorina, Santorum, and yes, Rand Paul (7th nationally, 9th New Hampshire).
There's a chance of him sneaking in depending on which polls ABC News average to determine entry, and if he somehow gets a boost nationally or in New Hampshire in polling completed by Friday (the deadline for polls to be taken into consideration), particularly nationally where he could dethrone Chris Christie for 6th, but it's not looking too hot for him...
-Fun fact: if the criteria had been "top 5" instead of "top 6", it would have bounced Chris Christie who's polling 6th both nationally and in NH (per previously posted RCP polls)
I was under the impression there was no debate between Iowa and NH, bullshit that someone cited during one of their "Trump can't skip this debate" rants, calling the Fox News debate the last one before both Iowa AND New Hampshire. Glad to see there's one more before New Hampshire and this is the big one - the last gasp of relevancy for many candidates, a good opportunity for EVERYONE to gang up on Ted Cruz, and a chance for Trump to strike hard and gain victory.
Once again, that's Saturday at 8 p.m. EST. Get hyped!
Here's what you need to know:
-It's the first GOP debate hosted by ABC News (previously hosted a Democratic debate in December)
-The moderators will be David Muir, Martha Raddatz and "WMUR political director Josh McElveen ".
https://twitter.com/DavidMuir
https://twitter.com/MarthaRaddatz
https://twitter.com/JoshMcElveen
-The criteria to get on the main stage is typical of recent debates. You need to be: Top 3 in Iowa, Top 6 in New Hampshire polling or Top 6 in national polling.
This sets the stage for a 7 person debate of Cruz, Rubio, Trump, Bush and Christie (top 6 nationally & NH), Kasich (top 6 in NH only) and Carson (top 6 nationally only. Carson's little moment in the sun months ago is still boosting his national average, I guess).
(sources: Debate criteria, RCP National Polling, RCP New Hampshire polling)
-The bad news: no undercard debate (source). This effectively cuts the rest out of the public eye at a critical time, essentially spelling the end for Fiorina, Santorum, and yes, Rand Paul (7th nationally, 9th New Hampshire).
There's a chance of him sneaking in depending on which polls ABC News average to determine entry, and if he somehow gets a boost nationally or in New Hampshire in polling completed by Friday (the deadline for polls to be taken into consideration), particularly nationally where he could dethrone Chris Christie for 6th, but it's not looking too hot for him...
-Fun fact: if the criteria had been "top 5" instead of "top 6", it would have bounced Chris Christie who's polling 6th both nationally and in NH (per previously posted RCP polls)
I was under the impression there was no debate between Iowa and NH, bullshit that someone cited during one of their "Trump can't skip this debate" rants, calling the Fox News debate the last one before both Iowa AND New Hampshire. Glad to see there's one more before New Hampshire and this is the big one - the last gasp of relevancy for many candidates, a good opportunity for EVERYONE to gang up on Ted Cruz, and a chance for Trump to strike hard and gain victory.
Once again, that's Saturday at 8 p.m. EST. Get hyped!