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"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions
#1

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

From the NY Times - The Cost of Letting Young People Drift.

Quote:Quote:

President Obama spotlighted a national crisis last year when he launched My Brother’s Keeper, an initiative that encourages communities, nonprofits and the private sector to focus on ways to improve the lives of some of the nation’s most vulnerable young people. According to the White House, the private sector has since directed nearly $500 million to various projects aimed at expanding opportunity for this group.

The crisis, in a nutshell, is the isolation of millions of young black and Latino men, who are disengaged from school, work and mainstream institutions generally. The task of bridging that gap has been left to the philanthropic community, which understands the crisis and has undertaken various educational initiatives. But the country as a whole seems largely unaware that a large number of young people exist wholly apart from the mainstream, a situation that is enormously damaging to them and to the rest of society.

The scope of the problem is outlined in a new study of nearly 100 American cities by Measure of America, a policy group at the Social Science Research Council. The study finds that more than 5.5 million people ages 16 to 24 are neither working nor in school, a significantly larger group than before the recession.

At a time when the economy is requiring workers to have higher levels of skills, one in seven of America’s young adults can’t even get started. And even if they find jobs, they are likely to earn significantly less than their peers, be more dependent on public assistance programs and end up worse off physically and mentally than their more fortunate peers.

The depth of this disengagement varies by race and place. Nationally, 21.6 percent of black youths are neither working nor in school, compared with 20.3 percent of Native Americans, 16.3 percent of Latinos, 11.3 percent of whites and 7.9 percent of Asians. In nine metropolitan areas, at least one in four black youths are shut out of society this way. In some cases — Chicago, for instance — whites and Latinos do slightly better than in the country as a whole, but African Americans do much worse, with a rate of 24.5 percent neither working nor in school. In the greater Boston area, white and black youths fare relatively well, while Latinos do worse. In 10 metro areas, at least one in five Latino youths are out of both work and school.

Whatever the racial and regional differences, there are several constants that define this depressingly large group of alienated young people. They are nearly three times as likely as their employed or in-school counterparts to have left high school without a diploma and are half as likely to obtain a bachelor’s degree. And girls and young women in this group are more than three times as likely to have a child as their more socially integrated counterparts.

Neighborhoods where these young people tend to live also display common characteristics, including high poverty, high unemployment rates and housing segregation. Researchers found that the more segregated the metropolitan area, the higher the likelihood that young blacks trapped there will be out of school and out of work.

Reducing residential segregation, which has been shown to have a particularly insidious effect on the prospects of minority children, has to be a primary governmental goal. Beyond that, the country obviously needs more public investment in better elementary and secondary education, as well as in mentoring, apprenticeships and training programs that could help give young people a foothold in life. The goal should be to break the pattern of disengagement as swiftly as possible for as many young adults as possible.

Predictions for this program that people living in the US will see:
  1. "Race relations" will get worse.
  2. Very little will improve for minorities (except Asians, who being the smallest minority, are out doing everyone else).
  3. Minorities will become even more dependent on the state (except Asians).
  4. This will cause a real estate crisis (this is good).
My solution (which would work, though every teacher in America would try to fight it):

1. Immediately enact school choice. Kids from poor neighborhoods would have the choice to attend schools in nice neighborhoods. The result would be terrible teachers would be fired because schools would have to compete for tax money. Also, allow taxpayers to choose homeschooling or private schooling. Racists will never tell you this truth: among home schooled children, no intelligent difference is found in any subject when comparing race or gender.

2. Stop glorifying minority criminals. How many Americans were upset that the responsible African American kids who worked at the CVS in Baltimore that got burned down lost their job? Very few. Yet look at how many Americans were upset about how a criminal was treated.
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#2

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Quote:Quote:

Nationally, 21.6 percent of black youths are neither working nor in school, compared with 20.3 percent of Native Americans, 16.3 percent of Latinos, 11.3 percent of whites and 7.9 percent of Asians.

All this stat says is that Blacks are taking on less college debt than the other races. It's not that college creates jobs. As these other groups graduate into an empty job market they will finally be included in the unemployed stat.

Jobs aren't being created right now, and to the extent new jobs are made they are just part-time "pay the bills job." Meanwhile a few lucky lottery winners get the high paying jobs that require them to work 60+ hours a week, and over half of these jobs go to women so they are unable to leave and make families.

Here's the real stat to measure economic growth of races:

http://www.theatlantic.com/health/archiv...es/391721/

[Image: 3c01e3311.png]

^ The above is births per 1000 women, and you can see the birthrates are going negative for all races. Currently, on average, there is only one child being born per millennial woman. Japan levels. If people are getting jobs why can't anyone afford to have a family and children? The reporting being done is just smoke and mirrors.

Quote:Quote:

Whatever the racial and regional differences, there are several constants that define this depressingly large group of alienated young people. They are nearly three times as likely as their employed or in-school counterparts to have left high school without a diploma and are half as likely to obtain a bachelor’s degree. And girls and young women in this group are more than three times as likely to have a child as their more socially integrated counterparts.

See, the only people who are having children are the ones "dumb" enough to see through it. The people who say "fuck you Uncle Sam," and just have kids to leech from welfare are actually among the most practical in my opinion. These people are the ones who realize the game is rigged and instead are exploiting the system until it collapses. Only suckers play a rigged game.

Quote:Quote:

Reducing residential segregation, which has been shown to have a particularly insidious effect on the prospects of minority children, has to be a primary governmental goal. Beyond that, the country obviously needs more public investment in better elementary and secondary education, as well as in mentoring, apprenticeships and training programs that could help give young people a foothold in life. The goal should be to break the pattern of disengagement as swiftly as possible for as many young adults as possible.

Segregation, education - all buzz words with zero effect on the job market. How does decreasing segregation create jobs?

If desegragation is so important why did it fail so miserably after being tried in the 60's, 70's, and 80's? America is more segregated than ever and none of it was caused by fiat.

If schools taught people how to be employed the economy would be 100x better than it is. But as it stands most schooling is just a credential system like in Ancient China where people compete for a limited amount of jobs by scoring the highest marks. Meanwhile the losers go back to being a peasant.

Contributor at Return of Kings.  I got banned from twatter, which is run by little bitches and weaklings. You can follow me on Gab.

Be sure to check out the easiest mining program around, FreedomXMR.
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#3

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Quote: (06-21-2015 06:23 PM)SunW Wrote:  

poor neighborhoods would have the choice to attend schools in nice neighborhoods. The result would be terrible teachers would be fired because schools would have to compete for tax money. Also, allow taxpayers to choose homeschooling or private schooling. Racists will never tell you this truth: among home schooled children, no intelligent difference is found in any subject when comparing race or gender.

2. Stop glorifying minority criminals. How many Americans were upset that the responsible African American kids who worked at the CVS in Baltimore that got burned down lost their job? Very few. Yet look at how many Americans were upset about how a criminal was treated.

No one but clueless PC-leftists will regurgitate this factoid because its implications at face value are trivial due to endogeneity.

Comparing the test scores for a given subject between home-schooled children and public school children, or between races amongst home-schooled children, to draw conclusions on the efficacy of home-schooling is meaningless, because home-schooled children (and their parents) are self-selected sub-populations, and unrepresentative of any demographic cohorts as a whole.

For example, I found some (unprofessional-looking) articles that try to promote your claim that home-schooling erases racial gaps. However, white home-schooled children appear to outperform white public school children, as well.

This is a figure often promulgated:

[Image: MinorityHomeschooling.JPG]

Is this because home-schooling is some magic bullet to make students smarter? Or maybe it's because home-schooled children are an unrepresentative sub-population for any demographic, having parents that are disproportionately high in intelligence and conscientiousness, and having inherited their parents' cognitive suites?

Apparently this is for Virginia only, which may explain why the percentiles aren't close to 50.

I personally believe home-schooling is a good option for many members of this forum--but not so much as to make their kids' test scores higher, as much as it is to shield them from leftist indoctrination, and/or to keep them away from the thugs and hoodrats that infest much of America's public schools.

#NoSingleMoms
#NoHymenNoDiamond
#DontWantDaughters
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#4

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Quote: (06-21-2015 07:07 PM)Kabal Wrote:  

No one but clueless PC-leftists will regurgitate this factoid because its implications at face value are trivial due to endogeneity.

Leftists hate home-schooled children because they are evidence that kids benefit from having a father and a mother. Leftists have been trying to end home-schooling because they also fear a parallel society (a major concern in their eyes - they do not believe that "father knows best").

As for differences among home-schooled and public schooled children: home schooled children out score their public school counter peers across all categories on every test I'm aware of. Generally, leftists will try to counter argue that the sample size is small, so that's why it appears that home schoolers are ahead of their peers.
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#5

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Quote: (06-21-2015 07:18 PM)SunW Wrote:  

Quote: (06-21-2015 07:07 PM)Kabal Wrote:  

No one but clueless PC-leftists will regurgitate this factoid because its implications at face value are trivial due to endogeneity.

Leftists hate home-schooled children because they are evidence that kids benefit from having a father and a mother. Leftists have been trying to end home-schooling because they also fear a parallel society (a major concern in their eyes - they do not believe that "father knows best").

As for differences among home-schooled and public schooled children: home schooled children out score their public school counter peers across all categories on every test I'm aware of. Generally, leftists will try to counter argue that the sample size is small, so that's why it appears that home schoolers are ahead of their peers.

Maybe sample size is an issue, but endogeneity is a much, much larger one.

Your mileage may vary, and maybe some PC-leftists like to handwave home-schooling statistics away for the reasons you mentioned, but many like to use the home-schooling statistics as evidence that we need to pour more money into schools for more teachers, more tutors, more administrators, etc. to give students the attention, time, and care in education that home-schooling parents give, because decades of twin adoption studies show that these things explain the bulk load of variation across student outcomes--oh wait, whoops! Twin adoption studies show the opposite: Genetics explain the bulk load of variation in student outcomes, with those things amounting to effectively diddly-squat when it comes to explanatory power.

#NoSingleMoms
#NoHymenNoDiamond
#DontWantDaughters
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#6

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Problem: Young whites are becoming disturbed and going postal every other month.

Solution: Give $500 million for programs to help non-white youth.

What could go wrong?
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#7

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Look at the upside. At least the Obama administration is doing something to attempt to help disenfranchised men.

And I bet I know why. His insistence on implementing Title IX when it comes to college sexual assault has been such a disaster that people who are usually pro-Obama are livid. I'm now seeing this regularly on Facebook.

Also, one of his first actions was the White House Council on Women and Girls. People wondered why there was nothing on men and boys considering that far fewer men are attending college, especially minority men.

As I've written in the past, if you're in politics and you want to help men, the only way to do it is to break "men" down into groups. Minority men. Veterans. Boys on Ritalin. Young dads. If you try to just help men in general, you get so much grief from feminists and the biased media that your poll numbers will suffer. So it looks like his administration might have picked up on this.

It must not have been easy seeing men who "could have been your son" suffering right outside your window, but not being able to do anything about it because you have to answer to the uber-white, angry, short-haired man-haters who write your policy. This is a possible step away from that.
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#8

"My Brother's Keeper" Predictions

Quote: (06-21-2015 06:23 PM)SunW Wrote:  

Predictions for this program that people living in the US will see:
  1. "Race relations" will get worse.
  2. Very little will improve for minorities (except Asians, who being the smallest minority, are out doing everyone else).
  3. Minorities will become even more dependent on the state (except Asians).
  4. This will cause a real estate crisis (this is good).

1) Divide and conquer - the elite does not want a unified country, but a divided one. They even stoke the fire, but preach diversity.

2) Minorities can only improve their own situation - that is why Asians, some Indians and Jews will do much better than the rest. The government doesn't give two shits about you.

3) More people overall will become dependent on the state as jobs are disappearing or being replaced with ones you cannot survive on. I wouldn't comb all minorities into one. That is a SJW argument. When some minorities are doing better than Whites, then you cannot claim that minorities are doing worse. Besides - the US and Canada will become majority Latino in some 30-40 years - maybe even faster. The economic top still won't change much - it will be Whites (incl. Jews), Asians and maybe some Indians (as they tend to aid each other and move into quality professions and endeavors).

4) Depends - real estate can be propped up and changed by a greater amount of rental properties in cities as more and more immigrants flood the country. Single Family residential real estate especially in rural areas or the remote suburbs - that kind of real estate is certainly not looking good.

There is nothing good about any of the coming changes. But there is ample time to strike it big and live a life of freedom and opportunity. No reason to be all morose about it.
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